Decision making on dry cow therapy: Economic evaluation using field data under Argentinian production conditions

IF 1.2 4区 农林科学 Q2 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Ciencia E Agrotecnologia Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI:10.1590/1413-7054202347016322
Claudina Vissio, Melina Richardet, Liliana Cristina Issaly, Alejandro José Larriestra
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Abstract

ABSTRACT The cow somatic cell count (CSCC) is an indicator of intramammary infection (IMI), and it has been used to make decisions at dry-off about selective dry cow therapy (SDCT). This study assessed ex-ante the economic impact of implementing SDCT under milk production conditions in Argentina, using CSCC to identify cows with IMI at dry-off. Eighty six cows were sampled at dry-off and considered being infected if at least one quarter was infected with major mastitis pathogens. The CSCC sensitivity and specificity were estimated using the CSCC recorded from the test-day prior to dry-off. A simulation model was then developed to look into the economic benefits of applying SDCT under two herd level IMI prevalence (low: 5-15%, and high: 16-25%) at dry-off. The input variables were obtained from the field study, scientific literature, and real-world prices. The output was the net economic difference (NED) between SDCT and blanket dry cow therapy at the herd level. The sensitivity and specificity estimated for identifying cows infected with major pathogens for a CSCC threshold of 200,000 cells/mL were 31.4 (95% CI, 14.6-48.2) and 64.7 (95% CI, 50.6-78.8), respectively; the value for NED was maximized to -634 US$ and -455 US$ in the low and high IMI prevalence, respectively. In general, CSCC specificity was the variable with the most impact on NED and, in high IMI prevalence, milk price had a similar relevance. Thus, SDCT based on CSCC is a cost-effective option, under the milk production conditions in Argentina.
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干牛治疗的决策:阿根廷生产条件下使用现场数据的经济评价
奶牛体细胞计数(CSCC)是乳腺内感染(IMI)的一个指标,它已被用于在干燥时决定选择性干牛治疗(SDCT)。本研究事先评估了在阿根廷的牛奶生产条件下实施SDCT的经济影响,使用CSCC识别乳牛在干乳时患有IMI。86头奶牛在干燥时取样,如果至少有四分之一感染了主要乳腺炎病原体,则认为感染。使用干燥前测试日记录的CSCC来估计CSCC的敏感性和特异性。然后开发了一个模拟模型,以研究在两种畜群水平IMI患病率(低:5-15%,高:16-25%)下应用SDCT的经济效益。输入变量从实地研究、科学文献和现实世界的价格中获得。产量为SDCT与毯式干牛治疗在畜群水平上的净经济差(NED)。在CSCC阈值为20万个细胞/mL时,鉴定主要病原体感染奶牛的敏感性和特异性分别为31.4 (95% CI, 14.6 ~ 48.2)和64.7 (95% CI, 50.6 ~ 78.8);在低和高IMI患病率中,NED的价值分别达到-634美元和-455美元。总的来说,CSCC特异性是对NED影响最大的变量,在IMI高流行的情况下,牛奶价格也有类似的相关性。因此,在阿根廷的牛奶生产条件下,基于CSCC的SDCT是一种具有成本效益的选择。
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来源期刊
Ciencia E Agrotecnologia
Ciencia E Agrotecnologia 农林科学-农业综合
CiteScore
2.30
自引率
9.10%
发文量
19
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: A Ciência e Agrotecnologia, editada a cada 2 meses pela Editora da Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA), publica artigos científicos de interesse agropecuário elaborados por membros da comunidade científica nacional e internacional. A revista é distribuída em âmbito nacional e internacional para bibliotecas de Faculdades, Universidades e Instituições de Pesquisa.
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