A Controlled Experiment on the Impact of Intrusion Detection False Alarm Rate on Analyst Performance

Lucas Layman, William Roden
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Abstract

Organizations use intrusion detection systems (IDSes) to identify harmful activity among millions of computer network events. Cybersecurity analysts review IDS alarms to verify whether malicious activity occurred and to take remedial action. However, IDS systems exhibit high false alarm rates. This study examines the impact of IDS false alarm rate on human analyst sensitivity (probability of detection), precision (positive predictive value), and time on task when evaluating IDS alarms. A controlled experiment was conducted with participants divided into two treatment groups, 50% IDS false alarm rate and 86% false alarm rate, who classified whether simulated IDS alarms were true or false alarms. Results show statistically significant differences in precision and time on task. The median values for the 86% false alarm rate group were 47% lower precision and 40% slower time on task than the 50% false alarm rate group. No significant difference in analyst sensitivity was observed.
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入侵检测虚警率对分析人员性能影响的对照实验
组织使用入侵检测系统(ids)在数百万计算机网络事件中识别有害活动。网络安全分析师审查IDS警报,以验证是否发生恶意活动并采取补救措施。然而,IDS系统显示出很高的误报率。本研究考察了在评估IDS警报时,IDS假警报率对人类分析师灵敏度(检测概率)、精度(阳性预测值)和任务时间的影响。进行对照实验,将参与者分为50%假警率和86%假警率两组,对模拟的IDS报警进行真假分类。结果显示,在完成任务的精确度和时间上存在统计学上的显著差异。假警报率86%组的中位数比假警报率50%组的准确率低47%,任务完成时间慢40%。分析人员的敏感性无显著差异。
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