Rainfall Variability and its Effect on Livestock Production Across Nigeria

Ugochukwu Kingsley Okoro
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Abstract

This study aimed at investigating climate variability and its impact on livestock production across Nigeria. Observational data of monthly rainfall was obtained for a period of 42 years (1979 to 2021) from Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMET). The yearly animal production data was also obtained for a period of 10 years (2013 to 2022) from Federal Ministry of Agriculture and Natural resources. The data obtained was subjected to descriptive statistical analysis (mean, standard deviation and coefficient of variation) to show spread and variability; linear regression to show trend (changes with time); coefficient of correlation to show statistical relationship between the variables (rainfall and each of the animal production); revealing insights into changing precipitation patterns. Positive and negative correlations were identified, indicating how changes in rainfall influenced livestock output. And the significance of these correlations was determined through t-tests, shedding light on the strength of the relationship between rainfall and livestock production.
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降雨变率及其对尼日利亚畜牧生产的影响
这项研究旨在调查尼日利亚各地的气候变化及其对牲畜生产的影响。利用尼日利亚气象局(NiMET) 1979 - 2021年42年的月降雨量观测资料。还从联邦农业和自然资源部获得了为期10年(2013年至2022年)的年度动物生产数据。对获得的数据进行描述性统计分析(平均值、标准差和变异系数),以显示分布和变异性;线性回归显示趋势(随时间变化);相关系数显示变量(降雨量和每种动物产量)之间的统计关系;揭示降水模式变化的深刻见解。发现了正相关和负相关,表明降雨量的变化如何影响牲畜产量。通过t检验确定了这些相关性的显著性,揭示了降雨与畜牧业生产之间关系的强度。
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