Impact of political risk and economic growth on the tourism industry: Evidence from a dynamic threshold panel model

IF 3.6 3区 管理学 Q1 ECONOMICS Tourism Economics Pub Date : 2023-11-10 DOI:10.1177/13548166231212244
Dinesh Jaisinghani, Muskan Kaur, Mahesh Joshi, Sharad Sharma, Abdullahi D Ahmed
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Abstract

This paper analyzes the nonlinear impact of political risk and economic development on tourism revenues. A dynamic threshold panel model is applied to a sample of 119 countries over 8 years. A positive association between economic development and tourism revenues is identified. The results also show that the impact of improvements in political stability on growth in tourism revenues is dependent on the current level of economic development. For highly developed countries, increased political stability does not impact tourism revenues. However, there is a significant positive impact of improved political stability on tourism revenues for less-developed countries.
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政治风险和经济增长对旅游业的影响:来自动态阈值面板模型的证据
本文分析了政治风险和经济发展对旅游收入的非线性影响。动态阈值面板模型应用于119个国家超过8年的样本。经济发展与旅游收入之间存在正相关关系。结果还表明,政治稳定的改善对旅游收入增长的影响取决于当前的经济发展水平。对于高度发达的国家来说,政治稳定的增加不会影响旅游收入。然而,政治稳定的改善对欠发达国家的旅游收入有显著的积极影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Tourism Economics
Tourism Economics Multiple-
CiteScore
9.30
自引率
11.40%
发文量
90
期刊介绍: Tourism Economics, published quarterly, covers the business aspects of tourism in the wider context. It takes account of constraints on development, such as social and community interests and the sustainable use of tourism and recreation resources, and inputs into the production process. The definition of tourism used includes tourist trips taken for all purposes, embracing both stay and day visitors. Articles address the components of the tourism product (accommodation; restaurants; merchandizing; attractions; transport; entertainment; tourist activities); and the economic organization of tourism at micro and macro levels (market structure; role of public/private sectors; community interests; strategic planning; marketing; finance; economic development).
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