Factors associated with rural aging in Brazilian municipalities: an analysis using quantile regressions

Camila De Moura Vogt, Adelar Fochezatto
{"title":"Factors associated with rural aging in Brazilian municipalities: an analysis using quantile regressions","authors":"Camila De Moura Vogt, Adelar Fochezatto","doi":"10.12775/bgss-2023-0028","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"In rural Brazil, aging is an important phenomenon for the future of the country’s agricultural production. This process is associated with both increased life expectancy and rural-urban migration. According to studies on migration, young people are more likely to change their place of residence, being attracted by the existence of work opportunities and, consequently, repulsed by their scarcity. This study assumes the rate of rural aging tends to be higher in places where the ratio of urban to rural work opportunities is high. Thus, using spatial dependence models and quantile analysis of data from the 2017 Agricultural Census, the effects of factors associated with income, agrarian structure, and location on rural aging in Brazilian municipalities were assessed. The results suggest rural areas with low attractiveness situated close to urban centers are the most susceptible to population aging and, consequently, rural depopulation.","PeriodicalId":45441,"journal":{"name":"Bulletin of Geography-Socio-Economic Series","volume":"93 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.7000,"publicationDate":"2023-09-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Bulletin of Geography-Socio-Economic Series","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.12775/bgss-2023-0028","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"GEOGRAPHY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

Abstract

In rural Brazil, aging is an important phenomenon for the future of the country’s agricultural production. This process is associated with both increased life expectancy and rural-urban migration. According to studies on migration, young people are more likely to change their place of residence, being attracted by the existence of work opportunities and, consequently, repulsed by their scarcity. This study assumes the rate of rural aging tends to be higher in places where the ratio of urban to rural work opportunities is high. Thus, using spatial dependence models and quantile analysis of data from the 2017 Agricultural Census, the effects of factors associated with income, agrarian structure, and location on rural aging in Brazilian municipalities were assessed. The results suggest rural areas with low attractiveness situated close to urban centers are the most susceptible to population aging and, consequently, rural depopulation.
查看原文
分享 分享
微信好友 朋友圈 QQ好友 复制链接
本刊更多论文
与巴西城市农村老龄化相关的因素:使用分位数回归分析
在巴西农村,老龄化是影响该国农业生产未来的一个重要现象。这一过程与预期寿命延长和农村向城市迁移有关。根据关于移徙的研究,年轻人更有可能改变居住地,因为他们被工作机会的存在所吸引,因此又因工作机会的缺乏而排斥。本研究假设,在城乡就业机会比高的地方,农村人口老龄化率往往更高。因此,利用空间依赖模型和2017年农业普查数据的分位数分析,评估了收入、农业结构和地理位置等相关因素对巴西城市农村老龄化的影响。结果表明,靠近城市中心的吸引力较低的农村地区最容易受到人口老龄化的影响,从而导致农村人口减少。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
求助全文
约1分钟内获得全文 去求助
来源期刊
CiteScore
2.10
自引率
18.20%
发文量
30
审稿时长
16 weeks
期刊最新文献
What drives them to drive? Mode choice for holiday travel in Poland and its determinants On household living conditions. A comparison between capital agglomerations and their popular neighborhoods in Northwestern Argentina Factors associated with rural aging in Brazilian municipalities: an analysis using quantile regressions Analysis of delays and cost overruns of road construction projects in the Colombian Caribbean Region Recent developments in immigration patterns. A case study in the province of Malaga (Spain)
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
已复制链接
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
×
扫码分享
扫码分享
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1