SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT PREDICTION USING TRANSFER LEARNING

Yuki Obara, Ryota Nakamura
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Abstract

Wave prediction needed for maritime construction is generally performed by numerical models. This method, however, requires a high-performance computer and a large cost of computational resources. With the development of neural networks, which can compute at a low cost, the use of neural networks in wave prediction has recently been studied. However, because a large amount of training data is required for neural network tasks using scarce datasets, it is difficult to predict wave conditions accurately. Fan et al. (2020) reported that using LSTM model for prediction of significant wave height (Hs) was higher accuracy than conventional neural network model. Additionally, they recommended using at least 2 years of training data for 6h predictions, that is, an excessively small amount of data is not presumed to predict sufficiently Hs. Therefore, we propose a wave prediction method using transition learning. Transfer Learning is the method of transferring trained knowledge from one model to another. In this study, we investigate whether transfer learning can be used to improve the performance of Hs prediction by transferring the knowledge learned at Sakata port, which has a large amount of training data, to the coast of Yamagata, which has a scarce one.
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使用迁移学习预测显著波高
海上工程所需的波浪预报一般采用数值模型进行。然而,这种方法需要高性能的计算机和大量的计算资源。随着神经网络计算成本低的发展,神经网络在波浪预测中的应用已成为研究热点。然而,由于使用稀缺数据集的神经网络任务需要大量的训练数据,因此难以准确预测波浪状况。Fan et al.(2020)报道使用LSTM模型预测有效波高(Hs)比传统神经网络模型具有更高的精度。此外,他们建议使用至少2年的训练数据进行6h的预测,也就是说,不能认为数据量过小就能充分预测h。因此,我们提出了一种基于过渡学习的波浪预测方法。迁移学习是将训练过的知识从一个模型转移到另一个模型的方法。在本研究中,我们研究了迁移学习是否可以通过将在Sakata港口学习到的知识转移到山形海岸来提高Hs预测的性能,Sakata港口拥有大量的训练数据,山形海岸拥有稀缺的训练数据。
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