MACROECONOMICS AND CLIMATE CHANGE

IF 1.2 Q3 ECONOMICS National Institute Economic Review Pub Date : 2023-09-15 DOI:10.1017/nie.2023.18
Stephen Millard
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Abstract

Climate change and its consequences are the most important issues affecting the UK economy over the coming century and will present a critical challenge for the UK government moving forward. In particular, the challenge of getting to net zero by 2050 is going to have major ramifications for the macroeconomy. In this commentary, I lay out some of the work that has been done on the implications of climate change and the transition to net zero for the macroeconomy. Economic activity as currently structured involves using fossil fuels as part of the production process. But this releases carbon dioxide into the atmosphere and leads to higher temperatures. I take this as given, simply noting that if this rise in temperature and the change in weather patterns associated with it are going to be stopped, if not reversed, at some point in the future, then we have to move to a ‘net zero’ (or even ‘net negative’) economy in which output is produced using only those inputs which do not produce greenhouse gases.
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宏观经济和气候变化
气候变化及其后果是影响下个世纪英国经济的最重要问题,并将对英国政府的前进提出关键挑战。特别是,到2050年实现净零排放的挑战将对宏观经济产生重大影响。在这篇评论中,我列出了一些已经完成的关于气候变化和向净零排放过渡对宏观经济的影响的工作。目前的经济活动结构包括使用化石燃料作为生产过程的一部分。但这会将二氧化碳释放到大气中,导致气温升高。我认为这是给定的,只是注意到,如果这种温度上升和与之相关的天气模式的变化要停止,如果不是逆转,在未来的某个时候,那么我们必须转向“净零”(甚至是“净负”)经济,在这种经济中,产出只使用那些不产生温室气体的投入。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.70
自引率
9.50%
发文量
21
期刊介绍: The National Institute Economic Review is the quarterly publication of the National Institute of Economic and Social Research, one of Britain"s oldest and most prestigious independent research organisations. The Institutes objective is to promote, through quantitative research, a deeper understanding of the interaction of economic and social forces that affect peoples" lives so that they may be improved. It has no political affiliation, and receives no core funding from government. Its research programme is organised under the headings of Economic Modelling and Analysis; Productivity; Education and Training and the International Economy.
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