Comprehensive seismic hazard assessment for Guwahati City, Northeast India: Insights from probabilistic and deterministic seismic hazard analysis

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Abstract

This paper presents a comprehensive seismic hazard assessment for Guwahati city, located in the northeast region of India. The earthquake data considered for the study is from 1762 to 2020, which was sourced from the published data of various seismological agencies. The fault information comprises of the latest studies and Seismotectonic Atlas (SEISAT) data. The density of earthquakes close to the faults was used to define the fault zones. The G-R relationship was utilized to calculate the seismicity parameters of the identified faults. We have used PSHA and DSHA to estimate the ground motion parameters such as peak ground acceleration and spectral acceleration at various probabilities of exceedance to calculate the level of seismic hazard. The results indicate that the seismic hazard in Guwahati is moderate to high, with several active faults in the vicinity and a high potential for strong ground motions. This study includes identifying the controlling source for Guwahati and plotting the seismic hazard curve and uniform hazard spectra for various probabilities of exceedance, which will give a basic idea of the seismic hazard of the city. The findings of this study can be used as a basis for earthquake risk reduction and mitigation strategies in Guwahati.

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印度东北部古瓦哈提市地震灾害综合评估:概率和确定性地震灾害分析的启示
本文对位于印度东北部地区的古瓦哈提市进行了全面的地震危害评估。研究中考虑的地震数据时间跨度为 1762 年至 2020 年,数据来源于各地震机构公布的数据。断层信息包括最新研究和地震构造图集(SEISAT)数据。断层附近的地震密度被用来定义断层带。利用 G-R 关系计算已确定断层的地震参数。我们使用 PSHA 和 DSHA 估算地动参数,如不同超限概率下的峰值地面加速度和频谱加速度,以计算地震危害程度。结果表明,古瓦哈提的地震危害程度为中度到高度,附近有多条活动断层,发生强烈地动的可能性很大。这项研究包括确定古瓦哈提的控制震源,绘制地震危险性曲线和各种超限概率的均匀危险性频谱,从而对该市的地震危险性有一个基本概念。这项研究的结果可作为古瓦哈提市地震风险降低和减灾战略的基础。
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