Fossil fuels, stranded assets, and the energy transition in the Global South: A systematic literature review

Augusto Heras, Joyeeta Gupta
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Abstract

Abstract Complying with the Paris Agreement on Climate Change requires leaving fossil fuels underground (LFFU), which raises justice issues regarding the Global South and its energy transition. The literature is scattered with no review papers on the challenges of LFFU in the Global South, hence we ask: What can be learnt from reviewing the scholarship on the Global South's energy transition, focusing on LFFU and the issue of stranded resources and assets? Our review reveals: (a) renewable investments in the Global South are relatively low for the scale of change needed, and such renewable deployment is more additive than substitutive. Nonetheless, there is potential for the Global South to leapfrog; (b) literature on LFFU in the Global South is limited, and much of it focuses on subsidies. However, developing countries might include stranded assets in their accounting, making LFFU appealing; (c) the Right to Development influences the energy transition's governance and justice issues: limited governance hampers LFFU, while understudied power dynamics shape transition's political economies. However, a global and multilevel just transition may have the potential to achieve LFFU. Thus, the literature overlooks (i) the dilemmas of stranded resources and assets from a developing country perspective and the implications in terms of equity, development, and climate change impacts; and (ii) the underlying power dynamics. Future research should investigate energy leapfrogging viability, critically assess renewables' additive rather than substitutive character in the Global South, and better identify the constraints to an inclusive energy transition, posed by North–South power dynamics and FF incumbents. This article is categorized under: Climate and Development > Social Justice and the Politics of Development
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化石燃料、搁浅资产和全球南方的能源转型:系统的文献综述
遵守《巴黎气候变化协定》要求将化石燃料留在地下(LFFU),这引发了关于全球南方及其能源转型的正义问题。文献分散,没有关于全球南方LFFU面临挑战的评论论文,因此我们问:回顾全球南方能源转型的学术研究,关注LFFU和搁浅的资源和资产问题,我们能学到什么?我们的回顾显示:(a)就所需的变化规模而言,全球南方的可再生能源投资相对较低,而且这种可再生能源的部署更多的是附加而不是替代。尽管如此,全球南方仍有实现跨越式发展的潜力;(b)关于发展中国家LFFU的文献有限,而且大部分集中在补贴方面。然而,发展中国家可能会将滞留资产纳入其会计核算,使LFFU具有吸引力;(c)发展权影响能源转型的治理和司法问题:有限的治理阻碍了LFFU,而对权力动态的研究不足则影响了转型的政治经济。然而,一个全局和多层次的过渡可能有实现LFFU的潜力。因此,文献忽略了(i)从发展中国家的角度来看,搁浅的资源和资产的困境,以及在公平、发展和气候变化影响方面的影响;(ii)潜在的权力动态。未来的研究应该调查能源跨越的可行性,批判性地评估可再生能源在全球南方的附加性而不是替代性,并更好地确定南北电力动态和FF现有企业对包容性能源转型的制约因素。本文分类如下:气候与发展;社会正义与发展政治
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