Working upstream: A statewide analysis of individual and contextual risk factors for future juvenile justice involvement among youth receiving prevention services

IF 3.5 1区社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Criminology & Public Policy Pub Date : 2023-12-13 DOI:10.1111/1745-9133.12656

Keller G. Sheppard, Jorge L. Hernandez, Jovontae Butts, Orlando Mendonca, Julie C. Orange

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Abstract

Research Summary

Juvenile justice agencies are increasing their emphasis on early intervention and prevention services as a growing body of research evinces their effectiveness and cost efficiency. The present study analyzed the relationship between individual risk factors, contextual risk factors, and future juvenile justice involvement for 30,328 Florida youth residing in 3309 census tracts served by prevention programs. A series of two-level logistic regressions indicated that several distinct criminological domains (e.g., aggression, relationships, family, substance use, and attitudes/behaviors) predict future juvenile justice system involvement. However, education-related risk factors are among the most consequential for all youth, especially older youth. Concerning community context, neighborhood disadvantage directly affects system involvement, but only for youth under 12.

Policy Implications

These findings indicate the importance of addressing highly consequential risk factors—especially educational deficits—of youth in early intervention and prevention programs while also recognizing the impact of their social environments. Agencies attempting to work upstream with prevention services may benefit from prioritizing educational services and allocating resources to highly disadvantaged communities for early intervention programming.

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上游工作：在全州范围内分析接受预防服务的青少年未来卷入少年司法的个人和环境风险因素

青少年司法机构越来越重视早期干预和预防服务，因为越来越多的研究证明了这些服务的有效性和成本效益。本研究分析了居住在佛罗里达州3309个人口普查区的30328名青少年的个体风险因素、环境风险因素和未来少年司法参与之间的关系。一系列两级逻辑回归表明，几个不同的犯罪学领域(如攻击、人际关系、家庭、物质使用和态度/行为)预测了未来少年司法系统的参与。然而，与教育有关的风险因素对所有青年，特别是大龄青年影响最大。在社区背景下，邻里劣势直接影响系统参与，但仅限于12岁以下的青少年。

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来源期刊

Criminology & Public Policy CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY-

CiteScore

8.10

自引率

6.50%

发文量

期刊介绍： Criminology & Public Policy is interdisciplinary in nature, devoted to policy discussions of criminology research findings. Focusing on the study of criminal justice policy and practice, the central objective of the journal is to strengthen the role of research findings in the formulation of crime and justice policy by publishing empirically based, policy focused articles.