Towards the Future of Public Health: Roadmapping Trends and Scenarios in the Post-COVID Healthcare Era

IF 2.4 4区 医学 Q2 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Healthcare Pub Date : 2023-12-07 DOI:10.3390/healthcare11243118
Leonardo El-Warrak, Mariano Nunes, Gabriel Luna, C. E. Barbosa, A. Lyra, M. Argôlo, Y. Lima, Herbert Salazar, Jano Moreira de Souza
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Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic, a transformative event in modern society, has disrupted routine, work, behavior, and human relationships. Organizations, amidst the chaos, have innovatively adapted to the evolving situation. However, many countries were unprepared for the magnitude of the challenge, revealing the fragility of health responses due to inadequate leadership, insufficient resources, and poor information system integration. Structural changes in health systems are imperative, particularly in leadership, governance, human resources, financing, information systems, technology, and health service provision. This research utilizes the Technological Roadmapping method to analyze the health sector, focusing on public health, drawing on articles from SCOPUS and PubMed databases, and creating a roadmap extending to 2050. The research presents three long-term scenarios based on the literature-derived roadmap and explores various alternatives, including integrated care, telemedicine, Big Data utilization, nanotechnology, and Big Tech’s AI services. The results underscore the anticipation of post-pandemic public health with high expectations, emphasizing the importance of integrating health history access, encouraging self-care, and leveraging technology for streamlined treatment. Practical implications include insights for decision makers and stakeholders to inform strategic planning and adapt to evolving industry demands, recognizing the significance of preventive services and the humanizing potential of technology.
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迈向公共卫生的未来:绘制后 COVID 医疗保健时代的趋势和情景路线图
2019冠状病毒病大流行是现代社会的变革性事件,扰乱了日常生活、工作、行为和人际关系。在混乱之中,组织创新地适应了不断变化的形势。然而,许多国家对挑战的严重性没有做好准备,由于领导不足、资源不足和信息系统整合不良,卫生应对工作十分脆弱。卫生系统的结构改革势在必行,特别是在领导、治理、人力资源、融资、信息系统、技术和卫生服务提供方面。本研究利用技术路线图方法分析卫生部门,重点关注公共卫生,利用SCOPUS和PubMed数据库中的文章,并创建了一个延伸到2050年的路线图。该研究基于文献衍生的路线图提出了三种长期方案,并探索了各种替代方案,包括综合护理、远程医疗、大数据利用、纳米技术和大科技公司的人工智能服务。研究结果强调了对大流行后公共卫生抱有很高期望的预期,强调了整合健康史获取、鼓励自我保健和利用技术简化治疗的重要性。实际影响包括为决策者和利益相关者提供战略规划和适应不断变化的行业需求的见解,认识到预防服务的重要性和技术的人性化潜力。
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来源期刊
Healthcare
Healthcare Medicine-Health Policy
CiteScore
3.50
自引率
7.10%
发文量
0
审稿时长
47 days
期刊介绍: Healthcare (ISSN 2227-9032) is an international, peer-reviewed, open access journal (free for readers), which publishes original theoretical and empirical work in the interdisciplinary area of all aspects of medicine and health care research. Healthcare publishes Original Research Articles, Reviews, Case Reports, Research Notes and Short Communications. We encourage researchers to publish their experimental and theoretical results in as much detail as possible. For theoretical papers, full details of proofs must be provided so that the results can be checked; for experimental papers, full experimental details must be provided so that the results can be reproduced. Additionally, electronic files or software regarding the full details of the calculations, experimental procedure, etc., can be deposited along with the publication as “Supplementary Material”.
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