An economic analysis of the impact of the Russian War in Ukraine on the Poland-U.S. trade

Mykola (Nikolay) Megits, Daniel Meyer
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Abstract

This research article examines the economic analysis of the influence of the Russian war in Ukraine on Poland and U.S. trade. The study employs a combination of quantitative and qualitative research methods to investigate the impact of the conflict on trade dynamics between the two countries. The quantitative analysis utilizes trade data, including import and export volumes, trade balances, trade flows, and economic output from 2003 to 2022 using TradeMap data. Descriptive and various econometric estimations were estimated. The qualitative analysis involves the evaluation of policy responses, trade strategies, and business decisions made in response to the conflict. The results indicate a rise in Polish exports to the U.S., but dominated by specific products. This research contributes to a comprehensive understanding of how the Russian war in Ukraine has affected Poland's trade with the U.S., provides valuable insights into the economic consequences of the conflict, and identifies potential avenues for future trade cooperation between Poland and the U.S.
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俄罗斯乌克兰战争对波美贸易影响的经济分析
本文对俄乌战争对波兰和美国贸易的影响进行了经济分析。本研究采用定量与定性相结合的研究方法,探讨中美贸易冲突对两国贸易动态的影响。定量分析利用贸易数据,包括2003年至2022年的进出口总额、贸易余额、贸易流量和经济产出,使用TradeMap数据。对描述性和各种计量经济学估计进行了估计。定性分析包括对应对冲突的政策反应、贸易策略和商业决策的评估。结果显示,波兰对美国的出口有所增加,但主要是特定产品。本研究有助于全面了解俄罗斯在乌克兰的战争如何影响波兰与美国的贸易,为冲突的经济后果提供有价值的见解,并确定波兰与美国之间未来贸易合作的潜在途径
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