Improving Protein Content Prediction in Wheat Grain

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Abstract

The paper reports a study conducted with the goal of expanding the possibilities of using the previously obtained multiple nonlinear regression equation describing the dependence of protein content in wheat grain (Y, %) on the amount of crude gluten (X1, %) and 1000-grain weight (X2, g). It has been demonstrated that the original and three improved equations can be used in breeding practice to predict wheat grain protein content. The algorithm and the results of testing the predictive ability and prediction accuracy of the equations using independent data were presented. Analysis of the experimental data from 288 Russian and foreign publications, with a total number of observations n = 4604, obtained for more than 300 winter and spring soft and durum wheats in Russia and abroad (Albania, Belarus, Bulgaria, Egypt, Kazakhstan, Lithuania, Poland, Slovakia, and Ukraine) within the period from 1959 to 2020 showed that 755 observations, or 16.4%, fell beyond the variation limits accepted by GOST 10846-91: Method of Protein Determination. At the same time, the accuracy of protein content prediction reached 83.6%. The developed equations can be used for predicting protein content in almost all cases when the results of protein and crude gluten content analysis in wheat grain, as well as 1000-grain weight, are provided for actual or fixed moisture content or are recalculated for absolute dry matter.

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改进小麦籽粒蛋白质含量预测
摘要 本文报告了一项研究,目的是扩大使用以前获得的描述小麦籽粒蛋白质含量(Y,%)与粗面筋含量(X1,%)和千粒重(X2,克)之间关系的多元非线性回归方程的可能性。实验证明,原始方程和三个改进方程可用于育种实践,预测小麦籽粒蛋白质含量。介绍了利用独立数据测试方程预测能力和预测准确性的算法和结果。对俄罗斯和国外(阿尔巴尼亚、白俄罗斯、保加利亚、埃及、哈萨克斯坦、立陶宛、波兰、斯洛伐克和乌克兰)1959 年至 2020 年期间 300 多种冬小麦和春软小麦及硬质小麦的 288 份俄罗斯和国外出版物中的实验数据进行了分析,观测数据总数 n = 4604,结果表明有 755 个观测数据(即 16.4%)超出了 GOST 10846-91 所接受的变化范围:蛋白质测定方法》所接受的变化限度。同时,蛋白质含量预测的准确率达到 83.6%。在提供实际或固定含水量的小麦谷物蛋白质和粗面筋含量分析结果以及 1000 粒重或重新计算绝对干物质的情况下,所开发的方程几乎可用于所有情况下的蛋白质含量预测。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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