The effect of obtaining EU citizenship in former transition economies on remittance flows

Luca Pieroni, Melcior Rossello Roig
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Abstract

We estimate the effect of the granting of European Union (EU) citizenship rights on the flow of remittances from Italy. We use the EU enlargements of 2007 and 2013 as natural experiments. The results show a negative impact on remittance flows. The effect of the 2007 EU enlargement shows how Romanian and Bulgarian citizens reduced the average annual amount of remittances by 1400 Euros per year per migrant. In the case of the 2013 EU enlargement, we find a smaller decrease of about 50 Euros per year per Croat. These results are consistent after a series of robustness checks. We analyse this decline in depth to the extent that remittances are an important source of monetary flows in transition economies. We find that both the change in the taxonomy of immigrants from the new Member States and the improvement of economic conditions in the country of origin after the EU accession provide suggestive evidence on plausible mechanisms behind our results.
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前转型经济体获得欧盟公民身份对汇款流动的影响
我们估算了授予欧洲联盟(欧盟)公民权对意大利汇款流的影响。我们将 2007 年和 2013 年欧盟扩大作为自然实验。结果显示,这对汇款流量产生了负面影响。2007 年欧盟扩大的影响表明,罗马尼亚和保加利亚公民使每位移民每年的平均汇款额减少了 1400 欧元。在 2013 年欧盟扩大的情况下,我们发现每个克罗地亚人每年减少约 50 欧元。经过一系列稳健性检验后,这些结果是一致的。汇款是转型经济体货币流通的重要来源,我们深入分析了这种下降。我们发现,新成员国移民分类的变化和加入欧盟后原籍国经济条件的改善都为我们的结果背后的合理机制提供了提示性证据。
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