Modern Technical Analysis of Investment Decisions in IHSG Shares in the Banking Sector in the Midst of Economic Recession Issues

Mhd. Riadul Afkar Afkar
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Abstract

This research aims to analyze the trend of IHSG share price movements in the banking sector amidst the issue of the global economic recession on investment decisions. This type of research is descriptive with a qualitative approach using secondary data. The research subjects were 4 banking issuers included in the Top 10 IHSG Fact Sheet Constituents as of September 2023 published by the IDX. The object of the research is graphic data and monthly shares price movement trends for 4 issuers from November 2022 to November 2023. This data is analyzed using a modern technical analysis approach using MACD and RSI indicators via the tradingview.com site. The research results show that in general there is an upward trend in issuers' share prices as evidenced by signals of bullish momentum on the MACD and an overbought situation on the RSI. This provides investors with initial information to make decisions about selling shares in order to obtain optimal returns. The phenomenon of inflation and high interest rates because of the emergence of the issue of economic recession in 2023 will not have a significant impact on the trend of share price movements of banking issuers.
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经济衰退时期银行业 IHSG 股票投资决定的现代技术分析问题
本研究旨在分析在全球经济衰退对投资决策产生影响的情况下,银行业 IHSG 股价的变动趋势。本研究类型为描述性研究,采用二手数据的定性方法。研究对象是 IDX 发布的截至 2023 年 9 月的十大 IHSG 概况介绍成分股中的 4 家银行业发行人。研究对象是 4 家发行商自 2022 年 11 月至 2023 年 11 月期间的图形数据和月度股价变动趋势。通过 tradingview.com 网站,使用 MACD 和 RSI 指标,采用现代技术分析方法对这些数据进行了分析。研究结果表明,从 MACD 的看涨势头和 RSI 的超买情况来看,发行人的股价总体呈上升趋势。这为投资者提供了初步信息,使其能够做出出售股票的决定,以获得最佳收益。2023 年经济衰退问题的出现所导致的通货膨胀和高利率现象不会对银行业发行人的股价走势产生重大影响。
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