ECONOMIC POLICY UNCERTAINTY, GLOBALIZATION AND BANKING STABILITY

Nguyen Thi, Minh Chau, Vo Xuan, Vinh
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Abstract

This paper is accomplished to assess the influence of global economic policy uncertainty and globalization on the stability of the banking system in Asian countries. Although the stabilization of the banking system is a subject of great interest to many researchers, there has yet to be research that simultaneously evaluates the influence of these two factors on its stability. simultaneously evaluates the influence of these two factors on its stability. Based on data from Asian countries and the two-step systematic GMM regression method, the research results show that economic policy uncertainty and globalization erode the banking sectors' stability in Asia. Additionally, the study provides evidence that a country's banking system with a high globalization index will be strengthened in an environment of policy uncertainty. Moreover, financial, economic, and political globalization can reverse the influence of global economic policy uncertainty on the banking system's stability. These findings hold significant policy implications for governments, policymakers, and banking managers.
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经济政策的不确定性、全球化和银行业的稳定性
本文旨在评估全球经济政策不确定性和全球化对亚洲国家银行体系稳定性的影响。尽管银行体系的稳定性是许多研究者非常关注的课题,但目前还没有研究同时评估这两个因素对其稳定性的影响。基于亚洲国家的数据和两步系统 GMM 回归法,研究结果表明,经济政策的不确定性和全球化削弱了亚洲银行业的稳定性。此外,研究还提供证据表明,在政策不确定的环境下,全球化指数高的国家银行体系将得到加强。此外,金融、经济和政治全球化可以扭转全球经济政策不确定性对银行体系稳定性的影响。这些发现对政府、政策制定者和银行管理者具有重要的政策意义。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.80
自引率
10.00%
发文量
72
期刊介绍: International Journal of Business and Society (IJBS) is an international scholarly journal devoted in publishing high-quality papers using multidisciplinary approaches with a strong emphasis on business, economics and finance. It is a triannual journal published in April, August and December and all articles submitted are in English. Our uniqueness focus on the impact of ever-changing world towards the society based on our niche area of research. IJBS follows a double-blind peer-review process, whereby authors do not know reviewers and vice versa. The journal intends to serve as an outlet with strong theoretical and empirical research and the papers submitted to IJBS should not have been published or be under consideration for publication elsewhere.
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