The Effect of Mining, Manufacturing and Agricultural Foreign Direct Investment on Economic Growth of Tanzania

P. Kivyiro
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Abstract

This study assessed the effect of foreign direct investment (FDI) inflow on economic growth in Tanzania. Specifically, the study sought to establish whether FDI from mining, manufacturing and agriculture sectors significantly impact economic growth in Tanzania. The study used annual time series data covering twenty-one (21) years from 2000 through 2020. The data were obtained from the Tanzania Bureau of Statistics, Bank of Tanzania, and World Bank Reports. The study employed an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds co-integration test to capture the long-run and the causal links among the variables of interest. Findings from co-integration test indicates a long-run interrelationship among the variables of interest. Furthermore, results from both short-run and long-run estimates show that both FDI inflows from the mining sector had a positive and significant effect on economic growth, while FDI inflows in manufacturing and agricultural sectors had a negative and statistically significant effect on economic growth in the case Tanzania over the period under the study. The results imply that the government should design comprehensive  policies that will continue attracting more FDI in the mining sector without compromising the impact of FDI from other sectors
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采矿业、制造业和农业外商直接投资对坦桑尼亚经济增长的影响
本研究评估了外国直接投资(FDI)流入对坦桑尼亚经济增长的影响。具体而言,研究试图确定来自采矿业、制造业和农业部门的外国直接投资是否对坦桑尼亚的经济增长产生重大影响。研究使用了从 2000 年到 2020 年二十一(21)年的年度时间序列数据。数据来自坦桑尼亚统计局、坦桑尼亚银行和世界银行报告。研究采用了自回归分布滞后(ARDL)边界协整检验来捕捉相关变量之间的长期因果联系。协整检验结果表明,相关变量之间存在长期相互关系。此外,短期和长期估计的结果表明,在研究期间,矿业部门的外国直接投资流入对坦桑尼亚的经济增长有积极和显著的影响,而制造业和农业部门的外国直接投资流入对经济增长有消极和统计意义上的显著影响。研究结果表明,政府应制定全面的政策,继续吸引更多的外国直接投资进入采矿业,同时不影响其他行业外国直接投资的影响。
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