Reshoring and Friendshoring as Factors in Changing the Geography of International Supply Chains

P. Banaszyk
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Abstract

Abstract The text covers the projection of the potential impact of the currently observed processes in the world economy on the international supply chains’ geography. The economic effects of the pandemic, the modern trade war and Russia’s aggression towards Ukraine are considered key factors in changing this geography. When examining the importance of these factors, the matrix of three components of global supply chains is adopted: production centres, transport corridors and consumption centres. The reasoning allowed for rejecting both the scenario of maintaining the so-called hyper-globalisation and forming a bilateral system of two isolated and hostile economic systems. The presented arguments lead to the expectation of a mixed solution in the form of the simultaneous existence of a system of high globalisation and concentrated regional systems. The primary objective of this study is to identify and assess emerging trends in the configuration of international supply chains. On this basis, it is also intended to identify the most likely scenario for the future formation of the geography of international supply chains. The research used the literature study methodology and deductive inference of the consequences of the identified processes taken as premises for reasoning. The above-presented arguments lead to the assumption that the so-called hyper-globalisation is probably unsustainable. Various economic, political, technological and social factors make it impossible to sustain, let alone further develop, the current logic of shaping the global economic system. A world economy system with a hybrid structure is expected to emerge. The model of full globalisation will coexist with the model of a multilateral structure with a regional character centred around the main consumption and production centres. The factors determining the evolution of economic globalisation have been systematised. Their potential impact is described, and a likely scenario for change is presented. The achieved results can contribute to the design of economic policy at the level of individual countries and their groupings.
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改变国际供应链地理格局的因素之 "再制造 "和 "友商制造
内容摘要 本文预测了当前观察到的世界经济进程对国际供应链地理格局的潜在影响。大流行病的经济影响、现代贸易战和俄罗斯对乌克兰的侵略被认为是改变这一地理格局的关键因素。在研究这些因素的重要性时,采用了全球供应链三个组成部分的矩阵:生产中心、运输走廊和消费中心。通过推理,可以否定维持所谓的超全球化和形成由两个孤立和敌对的经济体系组成的双边体系的设想。所提出的论点导致人们期待一种混合解决方案,即同时存在高度全球化体系和集中的地区体系。本研究的主要目的是确定和评估国际供应链配置的新趋势。在此基础上,还打算确定国际供应链地理格局未来最有可能形成的情景。研究采用了文献研究方法,并将已确定的过程的后果作为推理前提进行演绎推理。根据上述论点可以推断,所谓的超全球化很可能是不可持续的。各种经济、政治、技术和社会因素使得当前的全球经济体系的形成逻辑不可能持续下去,更不用说进一步发展了。一个混合结构的世界经济体系有望出现。全面全球化的模式将与以主要消费和生产中心为中心的具有地区特点的多边结构模式并存。决定经济全球化演变的因素已经系统化。对这些因素的潜在影响进行了描述,并提出了可能的变革方案。所取得的成果有助于各国及其集团制定经济政策。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Engineering Management in Production and Services
Engineering Management in Production and Services Business, Management and Accounting-Management Information Systems
CiteScore
3.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
27
审稿时长
7 weeks
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