The place and limits of futures analysis: Strategy under uncertainty 25 years on

Adam Vigdor Gordon
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Abstract

This paper revisits a 1997 Harvard Business Review article, “Strategy Under Uncertainty,” 25 years after publication, to selectively and critically extract its insights for the current era in futures and foresight work. It relates the original article to ongoing purpose and methodological issues in the futures field and outlines the ways its concepts remain pertinent in academic futures understanding and organizational futures practice.

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未来分析的地位和局限:25 年后的不确定性下的战略
本文在 1997 年《哈佛商业评论》的一篇文章 "不确定性下的战略 "发表 25 年后,重新审视了这篇文章,有选择性地、批判性地提取了其中对当今时代未来和展望工作的见解。文章将原文与期货领域当前的目的和方法论问题联系起来,并概述了其概念在学术期货理解和组织期货实践中的相关性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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