The (in)effectiveness of populist rhetoric: a conjoint experiment of campaign messaging

IF 2.5 2区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Political Science Research and Methods Pub Date : 2023-11-23 DOI:10.1017/psrm.2023.55
Yaoyao Dai, A. Kustov
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Abstract

Is populism electorally effective and, if so, why? Scholars agree that populism is a set of people-centric, anti-pluralist, and anti-elitist ideas that can be combined with various ideological positions. It is difficult, yet important, to disentangle populism from its hosting ideology in evaluating populism's effectiveness and its potential conditional effects on the hosting ideology. We conduct a novel US conjoint experiment asking respondents to evaluate pairs of realistic campaign messages with varying populism-related messages and hosting policy positions given by hypothetical primary candidates. Although party-congruent policy positions are expectedly much more popular, we find that none of the populist features have an independent or combined effect on candidate choice.
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民粹主义言论的(无效)效果:竞选信息的联合实验
民粹主义在选举中是否有效?学者们一致认为,民粹主义是一套以人为本、反多元化和反精英主义的思想,可以与各种意识形态立场相结合。在评估民粹主义的有效性及其对所持意识形态的潜在条件性影响时,很难将民粹主义与其所持意识形态区分开来,但这一点很重要。我们在美国进行了一项新颖的联合实验,要求受访者评估由假定的初选候选人提供的与民粹主义相关的不同信息和东道主政策立场的现实竞选信息对。尽管与党派一致的政策立场会更受欢迎,但我们发现民粹主义的所有特征都不会对候选人的选择产生独立或综合的影响。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
8.10
自引率
0.00%
发文量
54
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