Analisis Probabilitas Kebangkrutan Bank Umum Swasta Nasional di Masa Pandemi

Pustika Ayuning Puri, Giantoro Pamungkas, Siti Nurhasanah, Alfan Farikhi
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Abstract

At the end of 2019, the world was shocked by the phenomenon of the Covid-19 virus which caused significant changes to the economies of all countries, including Indonesia, where to date 6 million cases have been recorded. The implementation of the Large-Scale Social Restrictions (PSBB) policy implemented by the government has had an impact on the country's economic sector where many companies have closed down. This bankruptcy occurs due to financial distress, which is a condition where a company or individual cannot generate sufficient income or profit. Based on this phenomenon, researchers are interested in conducting research regarding the bankruptcy probability analysis of national private commercial banks listed on the Indonesian Stock Exchange. This research uses quantitative methods with secondary data obtained from company financial reports for 3 years, namely from before the 2019 to 2021 pandemic which will be processed using the Altman Z-Score and Zmijewski X-Score analysis methods.
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大流行病期间全国私营商业银行破产概率分析
2019 年年底,"Covid-19 "病毒现象震惊了世界,它给所有国家的经济带来了重大变化,其中包括印度尼西亚,迄今为止,印度尼西亚已记录了 600 万个病例。政府实施的大规模社会限制(PSBB)政策的实施对该国的经济部门产生了影响,许多公司纷纷倒闭。破产的原因是财务困境,即公司或个人无法创造足够的收入或利润。基于这一现象,研究人员有兴趣对在印尼证券交易所上市的全国性私营商业银行进行破产概率分析研究。本研究采用定量方法,从公司财务报告中获取 3 年(即从 2019 年大流行之前到 2021 年)的二手数据,并将使用 Altman Z-Score 和 Zmijewski X-Score 分析方法对这些数据进行处理。
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