ANALISIS HUBUNGAN EKSPOR, IMPOR, KURS DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI PROVINSI KEPULAUAN BANGKA BELITUNG

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the relationship between Exports, Imports, Rupiah Exchange Rate and Economic Growth in the Province of the Bangka Belitung Islands. This type of research is a type of quantitative research. Data analysis was carried out using Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) analysis. The results showed that in long-term relationship there is a positive and insignificant relationship between Exports and Economic Growth, there is a negative and significant relationship between Imports and Economic Growth and there is a positive and significant relationship between the Rupiah Exchange Rate and Economic Growth. In the short term relationship there is a relationship between Economic Growth and Exports, Economic Growth with Exchange Rates, Rupiah Exchange Rates with Exports, and Exports with Imports. The Granger causality test results show that there is a unidirectional relationship between Economic Growth and Exports, Exports and Imports, Economic Growth and Imports, Rupiah Exchange Rates with Imports and Rupiah Exchange Rates with Economic Growth in the Bangka Belitung Islands.