Political dynamics behind different policy options: Long-term care insurance policymaking in Beijing and Shanghai from the perspective of local policymakers

Chunhua Chen
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Abstract

Facing ageing challenges, long-term care (LTC) has become a focus of policymaking and policy analysis in China. However, the burgeoning literature obscures a lack of understanding of LTC policymaking, implying a linear and neutral process. This depoliticisation is unrealistic and contributes little to understanding the diversity of LTC policies and improving inclusive LTC provision. Focusing on the core institutional arrangement, LTC insurance (LTCI), this article explores a highly politicised policymaking process and reveals complex political deliberations behind different LTCI choices across regions. Underpinned by the multiple streams approach, which supports a systematic comparison of the policy process, this article identifies four key factors from a relational perspective that influence LTCI policymaking, including the tension between evidence and politics in the construction of LTC issues, the tension between policy effectiveness and stability in the assessment of policy options, strong or weak political will, and the presence or absence of municipal government.
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不同政策选择背后的政治动力:从地方决策者的角度看北京和上海的长期护理保险决策
面对老龄化的挑战,长期护理(LTC)已成为中国政策制定和政策分析的重点。然而,不断涌现的文献掩盖了人们对长期护理政策制定的不理解,暗示了一个线性和中立的过程。这种非政治化的做法是不现实的,对于理解长寿医疗政策的多样性和改善包容性长寿医疗服务的提供没有什么帮助。本文以长寿保险这一核心制度安排为重点,探讨了高度政治化的政策制定过程,揭示了各地区不同长寿保险选择背后复杂的政治考量。多流水线方法支持对政策过程进行系统比较,在此基础上,本文从关系的角度确定了影响 LTCI 决策的四个关键因素,包括在构建 LTC 问题时证据与政治之间的紧张关系、在评估政策选择时政策有效性与稳定性之间的紧张关系、政治意愿的强弱以及市政府的存在与否。
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