Food Security and Weather Events: A Multidimensional Analysis in the West African Sahel for 2001–2017

Oudah Yobom, J. Le Gallo
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Abstract

This paper analyzes the climatic factors that affected food security in the West African Sahel in 2001–2017. We estimate the impact of droughts and floods on the four dimensions of food security defined by the Food and Agricultural Organization of the United Nations, based on a panel data model controlling for socioeconomic and political factors. Droughts and floods negatively affect food security with floods causing more damage. Since socioeconomic and political factors, especially conflicts, also play an important role, food security in the West African Sahel cannot be explained only by climatic problems, so that coordinated policies must be based on the four dimensions of food security.
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粮食安全与天气事件:2001-2017 年西非萨赫勒地区的多维分析
本文分析了 2001-2017 年影响西非萨赫勒地区粮食安全的气候因素。我们基于控制社会经济和政治因素的面板数据模型,估算了干旱和洪水对联合国粮食及农业组织定义的粮食安全四个方面的影响。干旱和洪水都会对粮食安全产生负面影响,而洪水造成的损失更大。由于社会经济和政治因素,特别是冲突,也发挥着重要作用,西非萨赫勒地区的粮食安全问题不能仅仅用气候问题来解释,因此,协调政策必须以粮食安全的四个方面为基础。
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