Mortality Risk Information, Survival Expectations and Sexual Behaviours

A. Ciancio, Adeline Delavande, Hans-Peter Kohler, I. Kohler
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Abstract

We investigate the impact of a randomised information intervention about population-level mortality on health investment and subjective health expectations. Our focus is on risky sex in a high HIV-prevalence environment. Treated individuals are less likely to engage in risky sexual practices one year after the intervention, with for example an 8% increase in abstinence. We collected detailed data on individuals’ subjective expectations about their own and population survival, as well as other important health outcomes. Our findings emphasise the significance of integrating subjective expectations data in field experiments to identify the pathways that lead to behavioural change.
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死亡风险信息、生存预期和性行为
我们研究了关于人口死亡率的随机信息干预对健康投资和主观健康预期的影响。我们的研究重点是艾滋病高发环境下的高风险性行为。干预一年后,受干预者发生危险性行为的可能性降低,例如,禁欲率提高了 8%。我们收集了有关个人对自身和群体生存的主观期望以及其他重要健康结果的详细数据。我们的研究结果强调了在实地实验中整合主观预期数据以确定导致行为改变的途径的重要性。
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