The Australian Economy in 2023–24: Navigating a Narrow Path

IF 1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Australian Economic Review Pub Date : 2024-01-11 DOI:10.1111/1467-8462.12542
Viet Nguyen, Tim Robinson, Sarantis Tsiaplias
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Abstract

The economy grew at a moderate pace in 2022–23 as Australians adjusted to rising costs of living. The aggressive tightening of monetary policy has eased inflationary pressure, but inflation remains high. Strong labour market performance has been the brightest note in the current Australian macroeconomic landscape, although labour productivity growth was disappointing. The ongoing geopolitical conflict in Europe with its ensuing geoeconomic fragmentation, and the recent conflict in the Middle East increased global uncertainty and volatility in food and energy prices. This, together with the slowdown in China, added further downside risks to the outlook for the economy in 2023–24.

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2023-24 年的澳大利亚经济:在狭窄的道路上前行
随着澳大利亚人适应生活成本的上升,2022-23 年的经济增长速度适中。货币政策的积极紧缩缓解了通胀压力,但通胀率仍然居高不下。尽管劳动生产率的增长令人失望,但强劲的劳动力市场表现是当前澳大利亚宏观经济中最亮眼的亮点。欧洲持续不断的地缘政治冲突及其随之而来的地缘经济分化,以及中东最近发生的冲突,增加了全球的不确定性以及粮食和能源价格的波动。再加上中国经济放缓,2023-24 年的经济前景进一步面临下行风险。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.90
自引率
10.00%
发文量
40
期刊介绍: An applied economics journal with a strong policy orientation, The Australian Economic Review publishes high-quality articles applying economic analysis to a wide range of macroeconomic and microeconomic topics relevant to both economic and social policy issues. Produced by the Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, it is the leading journal of its kind in Australia and the Asia-Pacific region. While it is of special interest to Australian academics, students, policy makers, and others interested in the Australian economy, the journal also considers matters of international interest.
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