Flood teleconnections from levees undermine disaster resilience

Abolfazl Hojjat Ansari, Alfonso Mejia, Raj Cibin
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Abstract

Inland levees can amplify flood risk in unprotected communities by altering floodwater levels away from their location. While these nonlocal effects of levees, which we term flood teleconnections, have been studied for specific river segments, their impact on flood risks along a river network remains underexplored. By combining data-driven, hydrodynamic, and economic models, we quantify the magnitude, spatial distribution, and economic damages associated with flood teleconnections for a large river network system with extensive levees. We find that due to levees, the 100-year flood inundation extent grows by 25% of the total levee-protected area regionally, and the flood inundation depth increases by up to 2 m at specific locations. Levees also increase the vulnerability of unprotected, marginalized communities to flooding. Our results demonstrate that flood teleconnections are spatially widespread, involve unaccounted costs, and can lead to flood inequities. These findings will be critical to climate adaptation efforts in flood-prone regions.

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堤坝的洪水远距离联系削弱了抗灾能力
内陆堤坝可以通过改变远离堤坝位置的洪水位来扩大未受保护社区的洪水风险。虽然我们已经针对特定河段研究了堤坝的这些非本地影响(我们称之为洪水远距离联系),但它们对河网沿线洪水风险的影响仍未得到充分探索。通过结合数据驱动、流体力学和经济模型,我们量化了具有广泛堤坝的大型河网系统中与洪水远距离联系相关的规模、空间分布和经济损失。我们发现,由于堤坝的存在,100 年一遇的洪水淹没范围在区域范围内增加了堤坝保护总面积的 25%,洪水淹没深度在特定地点最多增加了 2 米。堤坝还增加了未受保护的边缘化社区在洪水面前的脆弱性。我们的研究结果表明,洪水远距离联系在空间上广泛存在,涉及无法计算的成本,并可能导致洪水不公平。这些发现对于洪水多发地区的气候适应工作至关重要。
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