Searching for a Carbon Laffer Curve: Estimates from the European Union Emissions Trading System

IF 1 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Metroeconomica Pub Date : 2024-03-15 DOI:10.1111/meca.12458
Matteo Mazzarano, Simone Borghesi
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Abstract

Carbon prices have grown remarkably in the European Union (EU) Emissions Trading System (ETS) in recent years, raising distributional concerns. Revenues are expected to grow with higher carbon prices, thus providing resources to address distributional issues. Beyond a certain point, however, higher prices can discourage the purchase of allowances and ultimately reduce revenues, describing a Carbon Laffer Curve (CLC). We empirically investigate the CLC in the EU ETS between 2012 and 2021 using auction revenues at the country level. Results indicate that ETS revenues follow an inverted-U relationship in both the volume and the price of auctioned allowances, with an estimated optimal price between 86 and 125 euros.

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寻找碳拉弗曲线:来自欧盟排放交易体系的估算
近年来,欧洲联盟(EU)排放交易体系(ETS)中的碳价格显著增长,引起了人们对分配问题的关注。随着碳价格上涨,收入有望增加,从而为解决分配问题提供资源。然而,超过一定程度后,较高的价格会阻碍人们购买配额,并最终减少收入,这就是碳拉弗曲线(CLC)。我们利用国家层面的拍卖收入,对 2012 年至 2021 年欧盟排放交易计划中的碳拉弗曲线进行了实证研究。结果表明,排放交易计划的收入与拍卖配额的数量和价格呈倒 "U "型关系,最佳价格估计在 86 至 125 欧元之间。
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来源期刊
Metroeconomica
Metroeconomica ECONOMICS-
CiteScore
2.40
自引率
15.40%
发文量
43
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