A Study on Influencing Factors of Willingness to Use E-CNY Based on Logistic Model

Yunfei Li, Thitinant Wareewanich, Thitinan Chankoson
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Abstract

The development of mobile technology has facilitated the widespread adoption of digital currency worldwide. An important application of mobile technology is digital currency, which has gained global popularity due to its blockchain and peer-to-peer mobile payment mechanisms. The emergence of private digital currencies, such as Bitcoin, poses a challenge to the monetary policy of governments. To address this threat, many central banks are developing their own central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) with legal support. China’s CBDC, e-CNY (electronic China Yuan), is one of the most advanced examples of this innovation. However, the adoption and usage of e-CNY by residents is still limited and requires improvement. This paper aims to identify and analyze the factors that influence residents’ willingness to use e-CNY, based on a literature review and a logistic regression model. The results indicate that residents’ awareness, convenience, cost, promotional activities, and the involvement of relevant parties (merchants, commercial banks, payment institutions, and the People’s Bank of China (PBC)) significantly influence their willingness to use e-CNY. This paper presents implications and suggestions for promoting and implementing e-CNY in China.
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基于逻辑模型的电子年票使用意愿影响因素研究
移动技术的发展促进了数字货币在全球的广泛应用。移动技术的一个重要应用就是数字货币,由于其区块链和点对点移动支付机制,数字货币在全球范围内广受欢迎。比特币等私人数字货币的出现对各国政府的货币政策构成了挑战。为了应对这一威胁,许多中央银行正在法律支持下开发自己的中央银行数字货币(CBDC)。中国的 CBDC--e-CNY(电子人民币)就是这种创新的最先进范例之一。然而,居民对 e-CNY 的采用和使用仍然有限,有待改进。本文旨在基于文献综述和逻辑回归模型,识别和分析影响居民使用电子人民币意愿的因素。结果表明,居民的认知度、便利性、成本、推广活动以及相关方(商户、商业银行、支付机构和中国人民银行)的参与程度对居民使用电子人民币的意愿有显著影响。本文提出了在中国推广和实施电子人民币的意义和建议。
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