How does climate change risk affect energy poverty? International evidence.

IF 3 3区 医学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Risk Analysis Pub Date : 2024-10-01 Epub Date: 2024-05-06 DOI:10.1111/risa.14316
Jinyu Chen, Xianfeng Luo, Qian Ding
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Abstract

Based on cross-country data from 2002 to 2019, we explore the impact of climate change risk (CCR) on energy poverty (EP), and the moderating role in the CCR-EP nexus is also discussed. The empirical results suggest that CCR can exacerbate EP, especially for rural areas. Moderating effect analysis shows that financial development, technological innovation, and adaptation readiness can modify the negative impacts of CCR on EP to some extent. Moreover, the impact of CCR on EP is heterogeneous, demonstrating that CCR is more likely to exacerbate EP in countries with low economic development, low economic freedom, high carbon intensity, and the Africa region. Our findings emphasize the challenge of balancing EP alleviation with climate change response and provide the policy guidance to promote coordinated development of CCR management and energy supply security.

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气候变化风险如何影响能源贫困?国际证据。
基于 2002 年至 2019 年的跨国数据,我们探讨了气候变化风险(CCR)对能源贫困(EP)的影响,并讨论了气候变化风险与能源贫困之间的调节作用。实证结果表明,气候变化风险会加剧能源贫困,尤其是在农村地区。调节效应分析表明,金融发展、技术创新和适应准备可在一定程度上改变《共同碳循环公约》对环境影响的负面影响。此外,碳循环对环境影响的影响是多方面的,这表明在经济发展水平低、经济自由度低、碳强度高的国家和非洲地区,碳循环更有可能加剧环境影响。我们的研究结果强调了在缓解环境问题与应对气候变化之间取得平衡所面临的挑战,并为促进碳中和管理与能源供应安全的协调发展提供了政策指导。
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来源期刊
Risk Analysis
Risk Analysis 数学-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
7.50
自引率
10.50%
发文量
183
审稿时长
4.2 months
期刊介绍: Published on behalf of the Society for Risk Analysis, Risk Analysis is ranked among the top 10 journals in the ISI Journal Citation Reports under the social sciences, mathematical methods category, and provides a focal point for new developments in the field of risk analysis. This international peer-reviewed journal is committed to publishing critical empirical research and commentaries dealing with risk issues. The topics covered include: • Human health and safety risks • Microbial risks • Engineering • Mathematical modeling • Risk characterization • Risk communication • Risk management and decision-making • Risk perception, acceptability, and ethics • Laws and regulatory policy • Ecological risks.
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