Flood damage assessment using HEC-FDA software in shoor watershed, Esfahan, Iran

IF 1.827 Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Arabian Journal of Geosciences Pub Date : 2024-05-25 DOI:10.1007/s12517-024-11990-9
Hoda Tamizi, Saeed Soltani Koupaei
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Abstract

Flood damage assessment is essential for the economic analysis of flood risk management in municipal and agricultural areas. In order to develop effective flood risk management plans, it is essential to have reliable flood damage models. This study aims to assess the economic losses caused by flood in the Shoor watershed, Esfahan, Iran, in April 2019. A digital elevation model (DEM) with a resolution of 1:1000 has been used to generate the river geometric cross-sections in HEC-GeoRAS software, and the inundation maps and vulnerable areas were specified by HEC-RAS software. Based on the results of this step, the HEC-FDA software has been employed to assess agricultural and municipal financial damage. The Monte-Carlo method was utilized to estimate Expected Annual Damage (EAD) based on vulnerability curves. Although HEC-FDA is primarily developed for estimating municipal damage, it was used to assess damage to agriculture indirectly by incorporating agricultural characteristics into the software. Results indicate that in the Shoor watershed, total losses were estimated about $517.800 in April 2019, mainly in agricultural classes. In this regard, the Damage-Reach No. 7 (D.R.7) experienced the highest economic losses with approximately about $317.000, while D.R.6 had the lowest amount of economic losses, with only about $16.900. These results show 84% compliance and correctness of our study results with the amount of damage caused by this flood in April 2019, which was about $440,000. Also, the results showed that discharge estimation with different return periods by HEC-FDA has high accuracy and is within the range of 5 to 95% confidence interval. Therefore, this watershed is relatively affected by floods and has noticeable economic losses. This study also could be beneficial for decision-makers in making decisions in flood management and reducing flood economic losses.

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使用 HEC-FDA 软件评估伊朗伊斯法罕 Shoor 流域的洪水损失
洪水损失评估对于城市和农业地区洪水风险管理的经济分析至关重要。为了制定有效的洪水风险管理计划,必须建立可靠的洪水损失模型。本研究旨在评估 2019 年 4 月伊朗伊斯法罕 Shoor 流域洪水造成的经济损失。使用分辨率为 1:1000 的数字高程模型 (DEM) 在 HEC-GeoRAS 软件中生成河流几何横断面,并通过 HEC-RAS 软件指定淹没地图和易受影响区域。在此基础上,使用 HEC-FDA 软件评估农业和市政经济损失。采用蒙特卡洛法根据易损性曲线估算预期年损失(EAD)。虽然 HEC-FDA 主要是为估算市政损失而开发的,但通过将农业特征纳入软件,它也被用于间接评估农业损失。结果表明,在肖尔流域,2019 年 4 月的总损失估计约为 517 800 美元,主要是农业损失。其中,第 7 号损毁区(D.R.7)的经济损失最高,约为 317.000 美元,而第 6 号损毁区的经济损失最低,仅为 16.900 美元。这些结果表明,我们的研究结果与 2019 年 4 月这场洪水造成的损失金额(约 44 万美元)的符合度和正确性达到了 84%。同时,研究结果表明,HEC-FDA 对不同重现期的排水量估算具有较高的准确性,且在 5% 至 95% 的置信区间范围内。因此,该流域受洪水影响相对较大,经济损失明显。这项研究也有助于决策者在洪水管理和减少洪水经济损失方面做出决策。
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来源期刊
Arabian Journal of Geosciences
Arabian Journal of Geosciences GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY-
自引率
0.00%
发文量
1587
审稿时长
6.7 months
期刊介绍: The Arabian Journal of Geosciences is the official journal of the Saudi Society for Geosciences and publishes peer-reviewed original and review articles on the entire range of Earth Science themes, focused on, but not limited to, those that have regional significance to the Middle East and the Euro-Mediterranean Zone. Key topics therefore include; geology, hydrogeology, earth system science, petroleum sciences, geophysics, seismology and crustal structures, tectonics, sedimentology, palaeontology, metamorphic and igneous petrology, natural hazards, environmental sciences and sustainable development, geoarchaeology, geomorphology, paleo-environment studies, oceanography, atmospheric sciences, GIS and remote sensing, geodesy, mineralogy, volcanology, geochemistry and metallogenesis.
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