The Reverse Mass Balance Method for Distribution of Trunk Line Crude Oil Losses: Issues, Alternatives, and Recommendations

Charles Enweugwu, Aghogho Monorien, A. Dosunmu, I. Mbeledogu
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Abstract

: In Nigeria, trunk lines are owned by few International Oil and Gas Companies and they are shared by independent producers, marginal field operation and some JV partners. Crude oil losses occur in these trunk lines due to use of wide range of non-compliant meters by the suppliers of crude to the trunk lines and leakages due to sabotage, aged pipeline and valve failures. These losses must be distributed among the suppliers of crude to the line (injectors). The Interim Methodology which apportioned 62% of the crude losses to measurement error and 38% to theft was promptly rejected by injectors and was replaced by the Reverse Mass balance methodology(RMBM). Less than two years of the RMBM’s implementation, injectors are petitioning the DPR about unfair deductions by the trunk line owners. The aim of this research therefore is to highlight the issues with the RMBM and discuss alternatives. This study identified two alternatives to the RMBM, the use of Artificial Intelligence and Flow based models. This study found that flow based models account for both individual and group losses, unaccounted for in the RMBM, and allocates and corrects for leak volumes at the point of leak instead of at the terminal. This is a significant improvement from the RMBM, however, AI techniques, PSO and Genetic Algorithm, are purported to perform better for leak allocation.
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用于分配干线原油损耗的反向质量平衡法:问题、替代方案和建议
:在尼日利亚,主干线由几家国际石油和天然气公司拥有,由独立生产商、边际油田运营公司和一些合资伙伴共同使用。由于干线原油供应商使用各种不符合要求的计量表,以及由于破坏、管道老化和阀门故障造成的泄漏,这些干线出现了原油损失。这些损失必须在干线原油供应商(注入商)之间进行分配。临时方法将 62% 的原油损失归咎于测量误差,38% 归咎于盗窃,但很快遭到了注入商的反对,取而代之的是反向质量平衡法(RMBM)。在反向质量平衡法实施不到两年的时间里,注油商就干线所有者不公平的扣减问题向石油勘探开发部请愿。因此,本研究的目的是强调反向质量平衡法存在的问题,并讨论替代方法。本研究确定了人民币管理的两个替代方案,即使用人工智能和基于流量的模型。这项研究发现,基于流量的模型可以计算出 RMBM 中无法计算的个人和群体损失,并在泄漏点而不是终端分配和纠正泄漏量。这比 RMBM 有了很大改进,但人工智能技术 PSO 和遗传算法据称在泄漏分配方面表现更好。
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