Number of Bank Agencies and Bank Credit Supply in Waemu Zone: A Spatial Econometric Approach

Prao Yao Séraphin
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Abstract

This study examines the effect of the spatial dependence of the number of bank branches on the supply of credit in West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU) countries, over the period 1995-2021. Methodologically, we mobilize spatial econometric techniques to take into account the spatial interdependence between the various countries involved in the analysis. Results from the SDM (Spatial Durbin Spatial) model reveal that the number of bank branches has a positive and significant influence on credit supply. In addition, bank size has a positive effect on credit supply. Nevertheless, inflation hurts the credit supply. Considering spatial effects has also shown us that the supply of credit from one country to another also depends on the volume of credit it receives from other countries. In terms of economic policy implications, banks in the zone need to promote the strategy of geographic expansion of their bank branches. Similarly, monetary authorities need to make efforts to keep inflation rates at moderate, stable levels, and encourage the emergence of large banks.
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Waemu 区的银行机构数量和银行信贷供应:空间计量经济学方法
本研究探讨了 1995-2021 年间银行分支机构数量的空间依赖性对西非经济和货币联盟(WAEMU)国家信贷供应的影响。在方法上,我们采用空间计量经济学技术,以考虑到参与分析的各个国家之间的空间相互依存关系。空间杜宾空间模型(SDM)的结果显示,银行分支机构的数量对信贷供应有积极而显著的影响。此外,银行规模对信贷供应也有积极影响。然而,通货膨胀会损害信贷供应。空间效应还告诉我们,一国对另一国的信贷供应也取决于该国从其他国家获得的信贷量。就经济政策影响而言,经济区内的银行需要促进其分支机构的地域扩张战略。同样,货币当局需要努力将通货膨胀率保持在温和、稳定的水平上,并鼓励大型银行的出现。
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