Research on the Influencing Factors of Beijing’s GDP

Juncheng Feng
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Abstract

This paper aims to discuss the factors affecting Beijing’s GDP. The data of this paper comes from the Beijing Statistical Yearbook. By reviewing relevant literature, this paper selects five variables with the highest probability and uses the method of multiple linear regression to analyze these five variables in Beijing in 1999-2018. Considering that the variables will affect each other, this paper also adopts the stepwise regression method to solve the problem of multicollinearity. The final results show that import and export trade and the total retail sales of social commodities in Beijing have a significant impact on Beijing’s GDP. In contrast, the total investment in fixed assets, resident population, and total energy consumption do not pass the significance test. In conclusion, Beijing’s GDP is affected by import and export trade and total retail sales of social commodities in Beijing. Beijing should pay attention to the development of these two factors to further improve its economic strength and competitiveness.
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北京 GDP 影响因素研究
本文旨在讨论影响北京 GDP 的因素。本文数据来源于《北京统计年鉴》。通过查阅相关文献,本文选取了可能性最大的五个变量,采用多元线性回归的方法对 1999-2018 年北京市的这五个变量进行分析。考虑到变量之间会相互影响,本文还采用了逐步回归法来解决多重共线性问题。最终结果显示,北京市进出口贸易额和社会商品零售总额对北京市 GDP 有显著影响。而固定资产投资总额、常住人口和能源消费总量则没有通过显著性检验。综上所述,北京市 GDP 受北京市进出口贸易和社会商品零售总额的影响。北京市应重视这两个因素的发展,进一步提高经济实力和竞争力。
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