End-to-end wind turbine design under uncertainties: a practical example

N. Dimitrov, M. Kelly, M. McWilliam, M. Guiton, A. Cousin, PA Joulin, ML Mayol, M. Munoz-Zuniga, L. Franceschini, A. Lovera, E. Fekhari, E. Ardillon, C. Peyrard, M. Bakhoday-Paskyabi, S. Marelli, S. Schar, E. Vanem, C. Agrell, O. Gramstad, H. Wang
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Abstract

This paper illustrates the process of design under uncertainty on a practical case study of an offshore wind farm. We document the entire process through selection and quantification of relevant uncertainties, definition of probabilistic limit states, reliability computation algorithms, as well as illustrating the impacts of the analysis through a design utilization study. The brief introduction in this study draws information and summarizes outcomes from the extensive works that took part within the EU H2020 HIPERWIND project. The results from the study show that significant material savings can be achieved by introducing probabilistic design methodologies, and particularly with the help of an integrated modelling approach where the entire structure (turbine, tower & foundation) is considered as a whole.
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不确定因素下的端到端风力涡轮机设计:一个实例
本文通过一个海上风电场的实际案例研究,说明了不确定性条件下的设计过程。我们记录了整个过程,包括相关不确定性的选择和量化、概率极限状态的定义、可靠性计算算法,以及通过设计利用研究说明分析的影响。本研究的简要介绍从欧盟 H2020 HIPERWIND 项目的大量工作中汲取了信息并总结了成果。研究结果表明,通过采用概率设计方法,特别是将整个结构(涡轮机、塔架和基础)作为一个整体来考虑的综合建模方法,可以显著节省材料。
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