Five-year survival analysis and predictors of mortality of adult hemodialysis patients in Indonesia: a nationwide database analysis.

Abstract

Background: Hemodialysis (HD) is the modality of renal replacement therapy (RRT) with the highest mortality rate. The identification of prognostic factors will help achieve better outcomes among HD patients. In this study, we sought to conduct a survival analysis and determine the predictors of mortality among adult Indonesian HD patients using data obtained from Indonesian Renal Registry (IRR).

Methods: This is a retrospective cohort study which reviewed all adult hemodialysis patients in Indonesia based on the records of IRR during 2007-2022. Variables analyzed in this study include age, sex, etiology of CKD, cause of death, HD frequency, and initial vascular access. A 5-year follow-up was performed until the outcome of death or drop out was found.

Results: Among 99,552 eligible patients, the mean survival length was 1536.21 ± 2.50 days. The 5-year survival rate was 77%. Cox proportional hazard regression model revealed demographic and clinical characteristics that are significantly associated with mortality: male sex (HR: 1.038, 95% CI 1.002-1.075), age of 60 years or older (HR: 1.329, 95% CI 1.281-1.379), diabetic nephropathy (HR: 1.347, 95% CI 1.249-1.452), twice-weekly hemodialysis frequency (HR: 1.080, 95% CI 1.011-1.155), initial vascular accesses with femoral vein puncture (HR: 2.710, 95% CI 2.568-2.860), and CVC (HR: 2.992, 95% CI 2.848-3.144).

Conclusions: The 5-year survival rate of Indonesian HD patients is 77. Male sex, age of HD onset at 60 years or older, diabetic nephropathy, twice-weekly HD frequency, and the initial vascular accesses with femoral vein puncture and CVC are associated with increased risk of mortality.