The seeds of tomorrow: Investigating adolescent perception of the future with the Futures Consciousness scale for adolescents

IF 3 3区 管理学 Q1 ECONOMICS Futures Pub Date : 2024-06-26 DOI:10.1016/j.futures.2024.103419
Fanny Lalot , Sanna Ahvenharju , Peter C. Bishop
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Abstract

Futures Consciousness (FC) describes the human capacity to understand, anticipate, prepare for and embrace the future. Differences in FC between individuals (as a psychological construct) can be reliably measured quantitatively with the Futures Consciousness scale. However, the FC scale is only suitable for the adult population. Based on the contention that Futures Consciousness emerges at a younger age, we endeavour to develop and validate an adapted version of the FC scale that is suitable for adolescents (aged 11–18). This paper presents the statistical analyses that led to the validation of a 15-item instrument, the FC-Adolescent scale. Data from N = 1138 adolescents from five countries allowed us to validate the scale in four languages (English, Dutch, Italian, and Turkish) through a dual approach of confirmatory factor analyses and ant colony optimisation item-sampling procedure. The results show that the five-dimensional structure of FC also holds for adolescents and that it can be measured with the scale developed here. Interestingly, we found no correlation between FC and age in the range of 11–18 years old. We discuss implications for research and potential applications for educators and foresight practitioners.

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明天的种子用青少年未来意识量表调查青少年对未来的看法
未来意识(FC)描述了人类理解、预测、准备和拥抱未来的能力。不同个体的未来意识差异(作为一种心理结构)可以通过未来意识量表进行可靠的定量测量。然而,未来意识量表只适用于成年人群。基于未来意识出现的年龄较小这一论点,我们致力于开发和验证适合青少年(11-18 岁)的改编版未来意识量表。本文通过统计分析,验证了 15 个项目的工具--青少年未来意识量表。来自五个国家的 1138 名青少年的数据让我们能够通过确认性因子分析和蚁群优化项目取样程序的双重方法,用四种语言(英语、荷兰语、意大利语和土耳其语)对量表进行验证。结果表明,FC 的五维结构同样适用于青少年,而且可以用本研究开发的量表进行测量。有趣的是,我们发现在 11-18 岁年龄段,FC 与年龄之间没有相关性。我们讨论了研究的意义以及对教育工作者和展望工作者的潜在应用。
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来源期刊
Futures
Futures Multiple-
CiteScore
6.00
自引率
10.00%
发文量
124
期刊介绍: Futures is an international, refereed, multidisciplinary journal concerned with medium and long-term futures of cultures and societies, science and technology, economics and politics, environment and the planet and individuals and humanity. Covering methods and practices of futures studies, the journal seeks to examine possible and alternative futures of all human endeavours. Futures seeks to promote divergent and pluralistic visions, ideas and opinions about the future. The editors do not necessarily agree with the views expressed in the pages of Futures
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