Population specific dental age estimation model for South Indian children based on normalized open apices method: A cross sectional study

Abstract

Age estimation plays significant role in forensic science especially when there is unavailability of the information concerned to the deceased. Use of population specific models of age estimation results in questionable evidence legally when tried on Indian children. The present study was designed to assess the accuracy of Cameriere’s Italian and Balwant Rai Indian model on South Indian children and to derive and validate a novel model for south Indian children by considering a sample from a larger geographical area with a greater sample size of 2500. Accuracy of both the models for South Indian children was analysed using root mean square error. Significant differences were observed in estimated age across all age groups and between sexes, using above models. Root mean square error using Cameriere’s Italian model was 1.54 and for Balwant Rai Indian model, it was found to be 1.78. The error for all the age groups was found to be 1.49 to 1.60 using Cameriere’s model and 1.41 to 2.1 using Rai’s model. A novel Population specific model was derived based on open apices of left mandibular seven teeth. Root mean square error with novel derived Population specific model was found to be less than 1 year overall being 0.94 and for all the age groups ranged from 0.91 to 0.96. The derived Population specific model exhibits superior accuracy compared to both the models and hence it can be considered for dental age estimation of the south Indian children in medico-legal cases.