The Influence of Taxation and Economic Growth on Consumers’ Burden in Malaysia

Siti Nurhazwani Kamarudin, Norsiah Norsiah, Abdul Rahim Ridzuan
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Abstract

The tax reformation and economic development in Malaysia have sparked the motivation of this study to understand the influence of such reform on consumers’ burden. An investigation into these relationships is important due to the current increase on consumers burden which had become a popular issue since the introduction of GST in 2015, and the comeback of SST in 2018 to replace the GST. This study intends to provide evidence concerning Malaysian tax reform and economic growth on consumers burden by examining the influence on price level. It employs the Autoregressive Distributed Lag Error Correction Model (ARDL-ECM) estimation to analyze quarterly data for the period 1996-2020. The findings reveal that indirect taxes have negative relationship both in the short and long run while economic growth is positively related with consumers’ burden. This outcome rules out the public accusation that the tax reform would cause the price level to increase hence worsen the consumer’s burden. Nevertheless, it is the economic growth that consumers need to take advantage of as it positively influences the demand for goods and services hence increase the price. The study shed further direction for the government in formulating taxation and economic policies so as not to compromising the burden of consumers.
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税收和经济增长对马来西亚消费者负担的影响
马来西亚的税制改革和经济发展激发了本研究的动机,即了解税制改革对消费者负担的影响。自 2015 年引入商品及服务税,以及 2018 年 SST 取代商品及服务税卷土重来以来,消费者负担的增加已成为一个热门话题,因此对这些关系的调查非常重要。本研究旨在通过考察价格水平的影响,提供有关马来西亚税制改革和经济增长对消费者负担影响的证据。研究采用自回归分布滞后误差修正模型(ARDL-ECM)进行估计,分析 1996-2020 年期间的季度数据。研究结果表明,间接税与消费者负担在短期和长期均呈负相关,而经济增长与消费者负担呈正相关。这一结果排除了公众对税制改革会导致价格水平上升从而加重消费者负担的指责。然而,消费者需要利用的是经济增长,因为经济增长会对商品和服务的需求产生积极影响,从而提高价格。这项研究为政府制定税收和经济政策指明了进一步的方向,以免加重消费者的负担。
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