Research on Oil Production Forecasting Method of Tight Oil Reservoir Based on Grey Correlation Method

IF 0.6 4区 工程技术 Q4 ENERGY & FUELS Chemistry and Technology of Fuels and Oils Pub Date : 2024-07-24 DOI:10.1007/s10553-024-01738-2
Pengyu Sun, Qianbei Yue, Juanping Lou, Ligang Zhang
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Abstract

Horizontal well fracturing technology is an important way to improve the oil recovery efficiency of low-permeability reservoirs. Aiming at a certain test area on the edge of Daqing oilfield, a simulation conceptual model is established using CMG reservoir numerical simulation software. The influence of engineering parameters such as the number of fracture clusters, fracture half-length, fracture permeability, production pressure difference on the peak daily oil production is analyzed. Moreover, the gray correlation method is used to analyze the influence of the above factors on the peak daily oil production. Using key factors as variables in the regression model, a mathematical prediction model for daily oil production peak is established. The findings should make an important contribution to the oil production peak prediction.

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基于灰色关联法的致密油藏石油产量预测方法研究
水平井压裂技术是提高低渗透油藏采油效率的重要途径。针对大庆油田边缘某试验区,利用 CMG 油藏数值模拟软件建立了模拟概念模型。分析了裂缝簇数、裂缝半长、裂缝渗透率、生产压差等工程参数对日产油峰值的影响。此外,还采用灰色关联法分析了上述因素对日产油峰值的影响。将关键因素作为回归模型的变量,建立了石油日产量峰值的数学预测模型。研究结果将对石油生产峰值预测做出重要贡献。
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来源期刊
Chemistry and Technology of Fuels and Oils
Chemistry and Technology of Fuels and Oils 工程技术-工程:化工
CiteScore
0.90
自引率
16.70%
发文量
119
审稿时长
1.0 months
期刊介绍: Chemistry and Technology of Fuels and Oils publishes reports on improvements in the processing of petroleum and natural gas and cracking and refining techniques for the production of high-quality fuels, oils, greases, specialty fluids, additives and synthetics. The journal includes timely articles on the demulsification, desalting, and desulfurizing of crude oil; new flow plans for refineries; platforming, isomerization, catalytic reforming, and alkylation processes for obtaining aromatic hydrocarbons and high-octane gasoline; methods of producing ethylene, acetylene, benzene, acids, alcohols, esters, and other compounds from petroleum, as well as hydrogen from natural gas and liquid products.
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