Climatic teleconnection of the future trend of meteorological, GRACE-DSI, and vegetation-conditioned-based drought analysis in the Ganga Basin

Water Supply Pub Date : 2024-07-26 DOI:10.2166/ws.2024.173
M. U. Hasan, Nadeem Akhtar, A. Rai, Mohd Amir Khan, Faisal M. Alfaisal, R. S. Alharbi, Khalid S. Hashim
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Abstract

This study assesses drought in the Ganga River Basin using SPI, GRACE-DSI, and VCI via GIS and non-parametric tests. Future SPI trends show increasing drought severity from 1986 to 2020. GRACE-DSI analysis (2002–2020) indicates a potential rise in drought conditions. VCI computations reveal vegetation health dynamics. Findings suggest an impending severe drought in the Ganga Basin, necessitating urgent water resource management. Drought causes are linked to precipitation changes and resource over-exploitation in changing climate conditions. The study emphasizes implementing measures like water conservation, sustainable land use, and groundwater recharge strategies to mitigate drought impacts.
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恒河流域气象、GRACE-DSI 和基于植被条件的干旱分析未来趋势的气候远程连接
本研究通过地理信息系统和非参数检验,利用 SPI、GRACE-DSI 和 VCI 评估了恒河流域的干旱情况。未来的 SPI 趋势表明,从 1986 年到 2020 年,干旱的严重程度将不断增加。GRACE-DSI 分析(2002-2020 年)显示干旱状况有可能加剧。VCI 计算显示了植被健康动态。研究结果表明,恒河流域即将发生严重干旱,需要紧急进行水资源管理。干旱的原因与降水量变化和气候变化条件下的资源过度开发有关。研究强调要实施节水、可持续土地利用和地下水补给战略等措施,以减轻干旱的影响。
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