The Estimation of Withdrawing and Withdrawn Foreign Companies Contribution in Industries and Regions of Russia

R. Bobrovskiy
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Abstract

Despite the current relevance of foreign companies’ withdrawal from Russia, there are no significant scientific works on this topic. Some researchers have attempted to assess the scope of foreign companies’ withdrawal from Russia. But similar works on a regional level are almost absent. The article attempts to estimate the shares of foreign companies that announced their withdrawal, suspension of activities, reduction of operations, suspension of investments, as well as those that objectively withdraw and reduced the activities in industries and regions of Russia. Analysis showed that foreign companies that announced their withdrawal accounted for 0.8% of the employees and 2.3% of the revenue of all organizations in the Russian economy, while foreign companies that objectively withdraw accounted for 0.6% and 1.8%. Among the industries, the automotive industry is the most affected. Among the regions, the largest diversified (city of Moscow, Moscow region, city of St. Petersburg), industrial diversified (Republic of Tatarstan, Tula region), automotive (Kaluga, Leningrad and Samara regions), timber processing (Republics of Komi and Karelia, Novgorod region), Sakhalin region are more affected. The most critical situation in terms of risks for the labor market and regional economies is developing in the automotive and timber processing regions.
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退出和撤出的外国公司在俄罗斯各行业和地区的贡献估算
尽管目前外国公司从俄罗斯撤出具有现实意义,但还没有关于这一主题的重要科学著作。一些研究人员试图评估外国公司撤出俄罗斯的范围。但地区层面的类似研究几乎没有。本文试图估算宣布撤出、暂停活动、减少业务、暂停投资的外国公司,以及客观撤出和减少在俄罗斯各行业和地区活动的外国公司的份额。分析表明,宣布撤出的外国公司占俄罗斯经济中所有机构雇员的 0.8%和收入的 2.3%,而客观撤出的外国公司占 0.6%和 1.8%。在各行业中,受影响最大的是汽车行业。在各地区中,最大的多元化企业(莫斯科市、莫斯科州、圣彼得堡市)、工业多元化企业(鞑靼斯坦共和国、图拉州)、汽车企业(卡卢加州、列宁格勒州、萨马拉州)、木材加工企业(科米共和国、卡累利阿共和国、诺夫哥罗德州)、萨哈林州受到的影响较大。就劳动力市场和地区经济面临的风险而言,汽车和木材加工地区的形势最为严峻。
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