COVID-19 lockdowns and children's access to justice: An interrupted time series analysis of Moroccan court filings

Mathew Toll , Ang Li , Natalia Maystorovich Chulio
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Abstract

Morocco's national lockdown was enforced between March 21st and June 10th 2020 in response to the spread of coronavirus. Restriction of civil space was not fully extended to the judiciary which had to transition to virtual sessions. To prepare for future pandemics and disasters, it is crucial to understand how well court systems across jurisdictions especially in low- and middle-income countries managed to function and protect children's access to justice under the constraints of stay-at-home orders. To investigate the effect of the national lockdown on children's access to justice in Morocco, this study employed interrupted time series analysis of publicly available court filings (N = 77,335) pertaining to child protection from January 1st to December 31st 2020 spanning the pre-lockdown, lockdown, and post-lockdown periods. Results showed that lockdown measures hampered children's access to justice and is associated with statistically significant and substantial deceases in the number of cases heard by the courts across all filing types. The interrupted time series model estimates that average cases per week dropped by 199.5 for penal filings, 1180.3 for civil filings, 942.5 for complaint filings, and 358.1 for report fillings during the lockdown relative to the pre-lockdown period. While the percentage of cases with recorded delays mostly increased, the average case length decreased except for civil filings which saw a significant increase. The substantial susceptibility of civil cases to lockdowns might be precipitated by the need of individuals to petition the court for a hearing. Evidence suggests that the courts adjudicating child protection cases struggled to maintain operations during the national lockdown, and indicates the need for stronger disaster preparedness and an integrated child protection system to increase the judiciaries' resilience and children's access to justice in future emergency and disaster events.

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COVID-19 封锁与儿童诉诸司法:摩洛哥法院诉讼的中断时间序列分析
为应对冠状病毒的传播,摩洛哥在 2020 年 3 月 21 日至 6 月 10 日期间实施了全国封锁。对公民空间的限制并没有完全扩展到司法机构,司法机构不得不过渡到虚拟开庭。为应对未来的大流行病和灾难,了解各司法管辖区的法院系统,尤其是中低收入国家的法院系统如何在 "足不出户令 "的限制下运作并保护儿童诉诸司法的权利至关重要。为了研究全国性封锁对摩洛哥儿童诉诸司法的影响,本研究采用了间断时间序列分析法,对 2020 年 1 月 1 日至 12 月 31 日期间与儿童保护有关的法院公开文件(N = 77,335 份)进行了分析,时间跨度为封锁前、封锁中和封锁后。结果表明,封锁措施阻碍了儿童诉诸司法的机会,并与法院审理的所有申请类型的案件数量在统计上的显著大幅减少有关。根据中断时间序列模型估计,与封锁前相比,封锁期间每周平均刑事案件减少了 199.5 起,民事案件减少了 1180.3 起,申诉案件减少了 942.5 起,报告填写案件减少了 358.1 起。有记录延误的案件比例大多有所增加,但平均案件长度却有所减少,只有民事案件有显著增加。民事案件非常容易受到封锁的影响,这可能是由于个人需要向法院申请听证。有证据表明,审理儿童保护案件的法院在全国封锁期间难以维持运作,这表明需要加强备灾工作和建立综合儿童保护系统,以提高司法机构的应变能力,并增加儿童在未来紧急情况和灾难事件中诉诸司法的机会。
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