Free public transport to the destination: A causal analysis of tourists’ travel mode choice

IF 6.3 1区工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Transportation Research Part A-Policy and Practice Pub Date : 2024-07-23 DOI:10.1016/j.tra.2024.104166

Kevin Blättler, Hannes Wallimann, Widar von Arx

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Abstract

In this paper, we assess the impact of a fare-free public transport policy for overnight guests on travel mode choice to a Swiss tourism destination. The policy directly targets domestic transport to and from a destination, the substantial contributor to the CO $_{2}$ emissions of overnight trips. Based on a survey sample, we identify the effect with the help of the random element that the information on the offer from a hotelier to the guest varies in day-to-day business. We estimate a shift from private cars to public transport due to the policy of, on average, 14.8 and 11.6 percentage points, depending on the application of propensity score matching and causal forest. This knowledge is relevant for policy-makers to design future public transport policies for tourists. Overall, our paper exemplifies how such an effect of natural experiments in the transport and tourism industry can be properly identified.

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前往目的地的免费公共交通：游客出行方式选择的因果分析

在本文中，我们评估了针对过夜客人的公共交通免票政策对前往瑞士旅游目的地的旅行方式选择的影响。该政策直接针对往返目的地的国内交通，而国内交通是造成过夜旅行二氧化碳排放的主要因素。在调查样本的基础上，我们借助酒店经营者向客人提供的优惠信息在日常业务中有所不同这一随机因素来确定其效果。根据倾向得分匹配和因果森林的应用，我们估算出该政策带来的从私家车到公共交通的转变平均为 14.8 和 11.6 个百分点。这些知识对于政策制定者设计未来的游客公共交通政策具有重要意义。总之，我们的论文举例说明了如何正确识别交通和旅游业自然实验的效果。

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来源期刊

Transportation Research Part A-Policy and Practice 工程技术-运输科技

CiteScore

13.20

自引率

7.80%

发文量

257

审稿时长

9.8 months

期刊介绍： Transportation Research: Part A contains papers of general interest in all passenger and freight transportation modes: policy analysis, formulation and evaluation; planning; interaction with the political, socioeconomic and physical environment; design, management and evaluation of transportation systems. Topics are approached from any discipline or perspective: economics, engineering, sociology, psychology, etc. Case studies, survey and expository papers are included, as are articles which contribute to unification of the field, or to an understanding of the comparative aspects of different systems. Papers which assess the scope for technological innovation within a social or political framework are also published. The journal is international, and places equal emphasis on the problems of industrialized and non-industrialized regions. Part A''s aims and scope are complementary to Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Part C: Emerging Technologies and Part D: Transport and Environment. Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review. Part F: Traffic Psychology and Behaviour. The complete set forms the most cohesive and comprehensive reference of current research in transportation science.