Using Shortened Spin-Ups to Speed Up Ocean Biogeochemical Model Optimization

IF 4.4 2区 地球科学 Q1 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems Pub Date : 2024-09-10 DOI:10.1029/2023MS003941
S. Oliver, S. Khatiwala, C. Cartis, Ben Ward, Iris Kriest
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Abstract

The performance of global ocean biogeochemical models can be quantified as the misfit between modeled tracer distributions and observations, which is sought to be minimized during parameter optimization. These models are computationally expensive due to the long spin-up time required to reach equilibrium, and therefore optimization is often laborious. To reduce the required computational time, we investigate whether optimization of a biogeochemical model with shorter spin-ups provides the same optimized parameters as one with a full-length, equilibrated spin-up over several millennia. We use the global ocean biogeochemical model MOPS with a range of lengths of model spin-up and calibrate the model against synthetic observations derived from previous model runs using a derivative-free optimization algorithm (DFO-LS). When initiating the biogeochemical model with tracer distributions that differ from the synthetic observations used for calibration, a minimum spin-up length of 2,000 years was required for successful optimization due to certain parameters which influence the transport of matter from the surface to the deeper ocean, where timescales are longer. However, preliminary results indicate that successful optimization may occur with an even shorter spin-up by a judicious choice of initial condition, here the synthetic observations used for calibration, suggesting a fruitful avenue for future research.

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利用缩短的自旋加速海洋生物地球化学模型优化
全球海洋生物地球化学模式的性能可以量化为模式示踪剂分布与观测数据之间的不匹配度,在参数优化过程中力求将其最小化。由于达到平衡所需的自旋时间较长,这些模型的计算成本较高,因此优化工作往往十分费力。为了减少所需的计算时间,我们研究了对自旋时间较短的生物地球化学模型进行优化,是否能获得与自旋时间较长、平衡时间长达数千年的生物地球化学模型相同的优化参数。我们使用了全球海洋生物地球化学模型 MOPS 和一系列模型自旋长度,并使用无导数优化算法(DFO-LS)根据以前模型运行中的合成观测结果对模型进行了校准。由于某些参数会影响物质从表层向深海的迁移,而深海的时间尺度较长,因此在启动生物地球化学模式时,示踪剂分布与校准所用的合成观测数据不同,因此至少需要 2000 年的启动时间才能成功优化。不过,初步结果表明,通过明智地选择初始条件(这里指用于校准的合成观测数据),在更短的自旋时间内也可以成功优化,这为今后的研究提供了一条富有成效的途径。
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来源期刊
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES-
CiteScore
11.40
自引率
11.80%
发文量
241
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: The Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems (JAMES) is committed to advancing the science of Earth systems modeling by offering high-quality scientific research through online availability and open access licensing. JAMES invites authors and readers from the international Earth systems modeling community. Open access. Articles are available free of charge for everyone with Internet access to view and download. Formal peer review. Supplemental material, such as code samples, images, and visualizations, is published at no additional charge. No additional charge for color figures. Modest page charges to cover production costs. Articles published in high-quality full text PDF, HTML, and XML. Internal and external reference linking, DOI registration, and forward linking via CrossRef.
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