The multiple patterns of factional influence: Evidence from the 2021 LDP presidential election

IF 1 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Asian Politics & Policy Pub Date : 2024-10-21 DOI:10.1111/aspp.12765
Masahiko Asano, Dennis Patterson
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Traditionally, factions and seniority determined who became President of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and, thus, Japan's Prime Minister. Since the electoral reform of 1994, however, some scholars have argued that the role of factions has declined, and this has led to ongoing debates over the extent to which factions and other factors have helped determine who will become the leader of Japan's LDP. Using data from the 2021 LDP Presidential election, we find that it is not policy but factional affiliations that matter for LDP members in selecting their leader. In addition to this finding, we disaggregate faction and show that the influence of this political institution in LDP Presidential elections varies across different factions. We also find that electorally weaker LDP incumbents are more likely to support a candidate who is more popular among Japanese voters in general.

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派系影响力的多重模式:2021 年自民党总裁选举的证据
传统上,派系和资历决定了谁能成为自民党总裁,进而成为日本首相。然而,自 1994 年选举改革以来,一些学者认为派系的作用已经下降,这就导致了关于派系和其他因素在多大程度上帮助决定谁将成为日本自民党领袖的争论。利用 2021 年自民党总裁选举的数据,我们发现,自民党成员在选择其领导人时,重要的不是政策,而是派系关系。除这一发现外,我们还对派别进行了分类,结果表明这一政治机构在自民党总裁选举中的影响力因派别而异。我们还发现,选情较弱的自民党现任者更有可能支持更受日本选民欢迎的候选人。
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来源期刊
Asian Politics & Policy
Asian Politics & Policy POLITICAL SCIENCE-
CiteScore
2.00
自引率
0.00%
发文量
53
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