Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio as a prognostic indicator of mortality in Polycythemia Vera: insights from a prospective cohort analysis

Abstract

We analyzed the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in 1508 patients with PV and found that those with an NLR ≥ 5 were generally older, had a longer disease history, and had higher cardiovascular risk factors, more arterial thrombosis, and more aggressive blood counts, indicating a more proliferative disease. NLR was an accurate predictor of mortality, with patients with NLR ≥ 5 having significantly worse overall survival and more than twice the mortality rate compared to those with NLR < 5. Multivariable models confirmed that increasing age, previous venous thrombosis and NLR ≥ 5 were strong predictors of death, further influenced by cardiovascular risk factors. We examined the interaction between NLR and the number of cardiovascular risk factors and found a progressive trend of increased mortality risk for NLR values ≥ 5 in addition to the presence of more than one risk factor. In conclusion, patients with NLR ≥ 5 require careful monitoring and management of cardiovascular risk factors because they increase mortality when associated with progressive levels of NLR.