Predicting the prognosis of Wilms tumor by peripheral blood cells: a real-world study of more than 30 years.

Abstract

Background: Despite established excellent treatment strategies for Wilms tumor (WT), effective prognostic evaluation methods were lacking. This study aims to examine prognostic factors for WT through real-world peripheral blood cell profiling.

Methods: Basic data and pre-treatment laboratory indices from WT and non-WT children underwent Wilcoxon test analysis. Chi-square tests assessed the correlation between blood cells and the overall survival (OS) and event-free survival (EFS) of WT. Further the Log-rank test and multivariate Cox were used to identify independent prognostic factors for OS. Traditional accepted factors were included in multi-Cox and the nomogram was constructed to further validate the outcome.

Results: Blood cells significantly differed between WT and non-WT groups (P < 0.05). Univariate analysis revealed that NLR above 1.380, stage IV, M below 0.325 × 10³/μL were linked with lower OS, and PLR below 94.632, LB above 3.570 × 10³/μL, stage IV, M above 0.325 × 10³/μL,age ≤ 3 years were meaningful for higher EFS (P < 0.05). While in the multifactorial COX, only M (HR:0.220, HR95%CI: 0.080 ~ 0.620, P = 0.004 and HR: 0.437, HR95%CI: 0.202 ~ 0.947, P = 0.036, respectively) and stage IV (HR: 7.890, HR95%CI: 1.650 ~ 37.770, P = 0.010 and HR: 3.720, HR95%CI: 1.330 ~ 10.408, P = 0.012, respectively) were independent prognostic factors for OS and EFS. These two variables also were significant after including recognized risk factors, and were demonstrated the predictability via nomogram.

Conclusions: OS and EFS were poorer in WT children with M below 0.325 × 10³/μL, suggesting the potential as a prognostic predictor for WT.