Impact of evolutionary relatedness on species diversification and tree shape

Abstract

Slowdowns in lineage accumulation are often observed in phylogenies of extant species. One explanation is the presence of ecological limits to diversity and hence to diversification. Previous research has examined whether and how species richness (SR) impacts diversification rates, but rarely considered the evolutionary relatedness (ER) between species, although ER can affect the degree of interaction between species, which likely sets these limits. To understand the influences of ER on species diversification and the interplay between SR and ER, we present a simple birth–death model in which the speciation rate depends on the ER. We use different metrics of ER that operate at different scales, ranging from branch/lineage-specific to clade-wide scales. We find that the scales at which an effect of ER operates yield distinct patterns in various tree statistics. When ER operates across the whole tree, we observe smaller and more balanced trees, with speciation rates distributed more evenly across the tips than in scenarios with lineage-specific ER effects. Importantly, we find that negative SR dependence of speciation masks the impact of ER on some of the tree statistics. Our model allows diverse evolutionary trajectories for producing imbalanced trees, which are commonly observed in empirical phylogenies but have been challenging to replicate with earlier models.