Exploring policy responses to labour-saving technologies: An assessment of basic income, job guarantee, and working time reduction

IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Journal of Policy Modeling Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI:10.1016/j.jpolmod.2025.01.001
Simone D’Alessandro , Tiziano Distefano , Guilherme Spinato Morlin , Davide Villani
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Abstract

This study examines policy responses to labor-saving technologies, focusing on employment and income inequality. Using the EUROGREEN model, we assess three scenarios: basic income, job guarantee, and working time reduction. The job guarantee scheme effectively reduces unemployment but raises the fiscal deficit, while working time reduction improves wage share, cuts deficits, and reduces inequality. Basic income has a moderate impact on unemployment but significantly reduces inequality but is accompanied by higher deficits. A wealth tax could help finance these policies and contribute to inequality reduction. This research provides novel insights to policymakers by demonstrating how a strategic mix of labour policies can improve socio-economic outcomes in the face of technological-induced job disruptions.
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本研究以就业和收入不平等为重点,探讨了针对节省劳动力技术的政策应对措施。我们使用 EUROGREEN 模型评估了三种方案:基本收入、就业保障和减少工作时间。就业保障计划有效降低了失业率,但增加了财政赤字,而减少工作时间则提高了工资份额,削减了赤字,减少了不平等。基本收入对失业率的影响不大,但能显著减少不平等现象,但同时也会增加赤字。征收财富税有助于为这些政策提供资金,并有助于减少不平等。这项研究为政策制定者提供了新颖的见解,展示了在面临技术引发的就业中断时,劳动政策的战略组合如何能够改善社会经济成果。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
6.20
自引率
11.40%
发文量
76
期刊介绍: The Journal of Policy Modeling is published by Elsevier for the Society for Policy Modeling to provide a forum for analysis and debate concerning international policy issues. The journal addresses questions of critical import to the world community as a whole, and it focuses upon the economic, social, and political interdependencies between national and regional systems. This implies concern with international policies for the promotion of a better life for all human beings and, therefore, concentrates on improved methodological underpinnings for dealing with these problems.
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Contents Editorial Board Do debt relief and fiscal rules improve public debt sustainability? The experience of sub-Sahara African countries The short-run displacement of EU cohesion funds in Italy: Has reprogramming a positive impact on regional growth? Exploring policy responses to labour-saving technologies: An assessment of basic income, job guarantee, and working time reduction
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